NFL 2016 Week 11 Game Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, November 20, 2016 9:35
Picks & analysis for 2016 NFL Week 11.
NFL Week 11
NFL WEEKLY RESULTS
WEEK 10: 7 – 7 = .500
Overall Tally: 72 – 68 – 7 = .514
Specials 2 – 2 – Cumulative Specials: 14 – 23 – 3 = .378
Totals Picks: 2 – 4 Cumulative Totals = 39 – 24 = .619
GAME OF THE WEEK 5 – 5
LOCK OF THE WEEK 2 – 6 – 2
UPSET SPECIAL 5 – 4 – 1
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK 2 – 8
GAME OF THE WEEK 4 – 4
BALTIMORE RAVENS (5-4) @ DALLAS COWBOYS (8-1) -6.5 50 [O]
I really hate Tony Romo.
Don’t get me wrong, I intensely disliked Tony Romo when he quarterbacked America’s team. But it wasn’t a visceral, throbbing hatred. It didn’t have to be…
His bumbling mistakes during playoff games and regular season contests, when he always seemed to throw a pick or incompletion when his team needed the crucial connection for a game winning score tempered my personal Romo-revulsion.
He was damn near lovable.
But now, the acrimony, the loathing, the disgust, has morphed into a visceral repugnance…(Special thanks to thesaurus.com)
You see, until the Star-crossed Dallas QB held this news conference where he read a self-written statement blessing rookie phenom, Dak Prescott as the new Cowboys QB
…and ending with this beautiful passage…
“I feel like we all have two battles, or two enemies, going on. One with the man across from you. The second is with the man inside of you. I think once you control the one inside of you, the one across from you really doesn’t matter. I think that’s what we’re all trying to do.”
…I detested Romo for quarterbacking an eminently hateable team—the entitled, over-hyped, barely above average for the last twenty years, ultra-rich, Cow Pokes.
After hearing his presser, I can’t stomach the man even more—because he may have turned me into a Cowboys fan.
The publication of the above sentence might get my ass-kicked during my next trip to Pittsburgh.
Well, I’ll take that whuppin’…
Spoiled, egocentric athletes pollute our culture and public discourse far too often—yeah, you AB and TO, and almost every NFL receiver—Romo was sincere, humble and showed everyone what a team player should be…
He was inspirational!
My god, how can I escape the disgrace of becoming even a temporary Cowboys fan?
Perhaps Jerry Jones will say something stupid—and my rage will be appropriately reignited.
I have a feeling that prayer will be easily answered.
Meanwhile in Baltimore…
My execration of the Rat Birds flickers eternally; a novelty store candle immune to the warm breeze of begrudging respect or the pelting rain of Cat-5 hurricanes.
An emotion fueled by idiotic comments like this from one of the truly untalented, inarticulate, and plain incomprehensible, jock analysts to ever come down the pike.
Here is Ray Lewis on former teammate and Ravens QB, Joe Flacco:
“Gifted? Absolutely. Passionate about what he do? I’ve never seen that,” Lewis told Fox Sports 1 on Thursday. “I don’t know what that looks like.”… “I don’t know how many times you’ll hear somebody just really go out on a limb to defend he’s the greatest teammate I’ve ever had,” Lewis said. “I don’t know how many times you’ll hear that. Maybe it’s because his personality just isn’t that personality. He’s not a rah-rah guy. He won’t say much. But, in the game of football, there has to be some burning fire behind you.”
I don think Flacco recognized the subtle humor and biting irony his understated response contained, but it was precious:
“I love Ray, and I love how he always spoke from the heart, but if you listened to those speeches, a lot of them didn’t even make sense,” Flacco said. “He meant everything he was saying, but I didn’t know what he was talking about 90 percent of the time.”
Consider it Flacco’s low-key way of advising another rich athlete who beat a murder rap to shut the hell up—asshole!
Media pundits seem to believe the Magpies are going to slow down Zeke Elliot and the Dallas offensive line because they field the NFL’s best defense.
Statistically, true. But it’s like saying Donald Trump was the best candidate and forgetting who his competition was.
Baltimore has yet to beat a team with a winning record. Four of their five victories were against Buffalo, the Jags and the Browns—twice. None of those opponents boasts an offense better than the Bills, the 18th best in the league.
In Week Nine, Big Ben, with an injury riddled 11th ranked offense was playing his first game a fortnight after meniscus surgery. Big Ben is 2-5 the game following an injury.
We’ll see how deadly the Ravens’ “D” is after Ol’ Zeke and the ‘Boys pound their beaks to bird shit for 60 minutes.
To paraphrase Romo, something magical is happening to the Cowboys.
We believe they’ll pull a Raven out of their helmet and wipe the Texas Stadium floor with the corpse—Over the Number.
Cowboys 33 Ravens 21
LOCK OF THE WEEK 1 – 5 – 2
TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-5) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (7-2) -7.5 44.5 [O]
Andy Reid is 38-19 in his four season as KC’s head coach. Reid’s teams seldom stand out, save for the times when you look back and see they have a 12 game win streak here, a dominant defense, there, a careful, smart quarterback everywhere.
Andy Reid makes every quarterback better.. Donovan McNabb in Philly and the current Chiefs signal caller, Alex Smith, are perfect examples
Reid’s teams overcome almost anything in their way—injuries, a tougher schedule, a dynamic division, more injuries.
The man’s a winner and his team should get the better of the visiting Bucs under head coach, Dirk Coetter, and the infinitely gifted and erratic leadership of Jamius Winston. Winston has Tampa playing decent offense and at 4-6, a victory pulls them to .500 and only one game behind the mercurial Falcons.
The NFC South isn’t as putrid as say, the AFC North, but it is definitely up for grabs.
We just don’t believe the Mateys will grab anything at Arrowhead this week…Long road trip facing a hobbled—Justin Houston won’t play—but still quality defense, the Bucs won’t be able to stop Smiths methodical assault on a very vulnerable TB defense.
With Houston out, Winston will have more success. Play the Over…
Chiefs 31 Buccaneers 21
UPSET SPECIAL 4 – 3
TENNESSEE TITANS (5-5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (4-5 ) 44 [U]
I was going to pitch the Brownies covering against my reeling Steelers, but, quite frankly, I just don’t have the stomach for it.
Besides, the Titans are slowly, surely becoming the most interesting AFC team. If I ask you to name the sixth most prolific offense in football., I bet you’d name 10-15 teams before remembering the Titans.
Demarco Murray trails only Zeke Elliot in rushing yards. Marcus Mariota has a solid passer rating of 99.6 and the offensive line is beginning to play consistent, winning football.
The Wise Guys put the Number at 53 to get suckers to bet the Under.
Do I look like a sucker to you?
Oh, shut up!
Both these teams score in bunches. Both defenses need some work.
The Titans win outright, Over the Number…
Titans 30 Colts 24
Per usual, here are my picks in bold italics:
NFL Lines For Week 11 11/17 – 11/21, 2016
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|11/17 8:25 ET||At Carolina [O]||-3.5||New Orleans||52|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Indianapolis US||-3 [O]||Tennessee||53|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Detroit||-6.5||Jacksonville||47|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Kansas City LW||-7.5 [O]||Tampa Bay||44.5|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At NY Giants||-7.5||Chicago||45.5|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Minnesota||PK||Arizona||40.5|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Cincinnati||-3||Buffalo||47|
|11/18 1:00 ET||At Dallas GW||-7 [U]||Baltimore||45|
|11/18 1:00 ET||Pittsburgh||-8||At Cleveland||49|
|11/18 4:05 ET||Miami||-1||At Los Angeles||40|
|11/18 4:25 ET||New England||-13||At San Francisco||51.5|
|11/18 4:25 ET||At Seattle||-6.5||Philadelphia||44.5|
|11/18 8:30 ET||At Washington||-2.5 [U)||Green Bay||50.5|
Monday Night Football Line
|11/21 8:30 ET||Oakland [O](At Mexico City)||-5.5||Houston||46|
PK = Pick… No favorite, no underdog… A line of zero.
Bye Weeks: Atlanta, Denver, NY Jets, San Diego
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