NFL 2016 Week 3 Game Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, September 25, 2016 8:53
Picks & analysis for 2016 NFL Week 3.
NFL Week 3
NFL WEEK TWO RESULTS
We had an awful week on our four Specials picks and are goose egging our weekly Over/ Under or Totals picks—yet we are blistering our “Cume” Totals” at a near.700 pace. (We play Over/Unders, or The Total, on all the night games and our three other Specials.)
Here’s what we look like after two weeks; not very pretty, but not hideous either:
Last Week: 7 – 9 = .563
Overall Tally: 16 – 16 = .500
Specials 1 – 3 Cumulative Specials: 3 – 5 = .375
O/U or Totals Picks: 5 – 2 Cumulative O/U or Totals = 9 – 4 = .692
GAME OF THE WEEK 1 – 1
LOCK OF THE WEEK 1 – 1
UPSET SPECIAL 1 – 1
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK 0 – 2
GAME OF THE WEEK 1 – 1
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0) @ Philadelphia Eagles +3.5 (2-0) 46 [O]
I have a theory: The Steelers went against type the first two weeks of the season. Blitzing little, opting to drop coverage and take elite receivers like Desean Jackson and A.J. Green out of the game. Still, Pittsburgh is stopping the run even when they play the dime or nickel on defense—and their secondary is showing signs of a much stronger heartbeat.
The Bald Birds have no elite receivers and rookie quarterback phenom, Carson Wentz will be officially welcomed into the NFL, by an improving and fundamentally sound Steelers defense.
Couple the above reality with Antonio Brown’s bitching about not getting the ball, the Steelers superb offensive line, the NFL’s leading rusher in D’Angelo Williams and you have the recipe for a solid win for the visiting cross-state Steelers.
Wentz will adjust, he is the real deal, but Pittsburgh will prevail by double digits Over the number.
STEELERS 31 EAGLES 20
LOCK OF THE WEEK 1 – 0
Los Angeles Rams (1-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-1) -4.5 41 [O]
Stan Kronke has stuck with head coach, Jeff Fisher for a reason, despite a lousy won-loss record—the Rams have been a star-crossed team for the last few years:
- Would they stay or would they go?
- Would their QB shred another knee?
- Would Kronke sack the coaching staff?
- Would the move to L.A. be a distraction?
- Would being on Hard Knocks be too intrusive?
Not excusing Fisher’s dismal record as the head Big Horn, but man, you add to the above gaggle of questions three East Coast trips and the tough NFC West division and the Rams will have a great year if they play .500 ball.
Last week, the Big Sheep butted heads with divisional rival Seahawks and bleated out a typical NFC West 9-3 victory.
This week they make one of the longest NFL road trips possible without traversing the Atlantic Ocean and take on the Swashbucklers in the Bay—in what for Los Angeles will be a 10:00am game.
The Rams will be drained by halftime. Jameius Winston will have a great second half—Tampa wins big Over the Number.
BUCCANEERS 27 RAMS 16
UPSET SPECIAL 1 – 0
Denver Broncos (2-0) @ Cincinnati Bengals (1-1) -3.5 42 [O]
The Bengals were dominated by Pittsburgh last week and what is supposed to be one of the NFL’s best offenses scored one touchdown on what is a young, fairly awful Steelers secondary. Dalton threw for a million yards, but didn’t record only a touchdown, to a running back. The Red Rifle was sacked only once, but felt pressure all day.
The Striped Cats were victimized by the inept officiating crew of Pete Morrelli as often as Pittsburgh; the worst officiated game I’ve seen in five years.
Point being, despite their supremely talented personnel, the Bengals, too often, fall short in the big games.
Contrast that with the Broncos who said farewell to a QB legend, let his replacement sign with another team; yet field an adequate fundamentally sound offense and the sixth best NFL defense under Wade Phillips.
The Bengals have to prove they are who we think they are. We’re beginning to wonder, again this year, if that goal is achievable under Marvin Lewis.
The Broncos have proven themselves in their last two games—and many years before. They’ll prove it again, this week.
The Over is a premium pick, here and the Underdogs win outright.
BRONCOS 27 BENGALS 21
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK
New York Jets (1-1) @ Kansas City Chiefs (1-1) -2.5 42 [O]
The Airplanes fly west to Arrowhead stadium to have at the Chiefs in what could be a real slugfest…
Andy Reid could be building something special in KC, and you know we think Todd Bowles is as good as any coach in the league. If I had more athletic ability than your average armadillo and were a few centuries younger, I’d love to play for the guy.
At least he has that going for him… He also fields an excellent offense, and a defense that is better than it has played.
I think this one goes to the home team on a last second field goal barely Over the Number.
CHIEFS 24 JETS 21
As usual, my picks are in bold italic below…
NFL Lines For Week 3 9/25 – 9/26, 2016
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|9/25 1:00 ET||At Cincinnati US||-3.5 [O]||Denver||42|
|9/25 1:00 ET||Oakland||-1||At Tennessee||47|
|9/25 1:00 ET||Arizona||-4||At Buffalo||47|
|9/25 1:00 ET||Baltimore||-1||At Jacksonville||47|
|9/25 1:00 ET||At Miami||-9.5||Cleveland||42|
|9/25 1:00 ET||At NY Giants||-3.5||Washington||46|
|9/25 1:00 ET||At Green Bay||-7||Detroit||47.5|
|9/25 1:00 ET||At Carolina||-7||Minnesota||43|
|9/25 4:05 ET||At Seattle||-9.5||San Francisco||41|
|9/25 4:05 ET||At Tampa Bay LW||-5 [O]||Los Angeles||41|
|9/25 4:25 ET||Pittsburgh GW||-3.5 [O]||At Philadelphia||46|
|9/25 4:25 ET||At Kansas City O/U||-3||NY Jets||42|
|9/25 4:25 ET||At Indianapolis||-1||San Diego||51|
|9/25 8:30 ET||At Dallas [O]||-7||Chicago||44.5|
Monday Night Football Line
|9/26 8:30 ET||At New Orleans [U]||-3||Atlanta||53.5|
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