2015 NFL Season Week 15 – FootballSunday, December 20, 2015 9:48
NFL Week 15 picks and analysis.
WEEK FIFTEEN SUNDAY
The Gairzo had his best week and is looking for more. Hanging in there with his Specials and Totals picks. Here’s Week Fourteen’s round up:
AFTER WEEK FOURTEEN
WEEKLY TALLY: 12 – 4 SPECIALS 3 – 1 O/U 1 – 4
OVERALL: 96 – 107 – 5 SPECIALS 28 – 24 – 4 O/U 44 – 35 – 1
GW 5 – 7 – 2
LW 9 – 5 – 0
US 6 – 7 – 1
O/U 8 – 5 – 1
LOCK OF THE WEEK 9 – 5
Cincinnati Bengals (10-3) @ San Francisco 49ers (4-9) +5.5 40.5 [U]
Since I see no better LOTW on the board, I’ll take Cincy over the home dog Niners, who are pretty awful in every aspect of the game.
San Fran “boasts” the 21st best rushing offense in the NFL. The Prospectors rank no higher than 27th in any other major offensive or defensive category. A statistical configuration of futility threatening the dubious stenchmarks set by the 1976 Buccaneers and ‘08 Lions—both historically winless.
If Jim Tomsula wins this game and/or somehow manages to wring six wins from this ragged edition of the Gold Miners he should be anointed coach of the decade and be given a five-year contract extension.
Then again, they are playing the Bengals.
The Bengals without Scott Farkus-er-Andy Dalton…
Back-up A.J. McCarron has raised some eyebrows with some comments several people have described as cocky.
Tom Brady might not play against the Titans and Cleveland might not be more than 10 points worse than the Seahawks even in the Great Northwest. I don’t trust the Chiefs to cover a full touchdown against the Crows and the Giants are known giant killers… There is not a legitimate Lock on this week’s slate.
Even with the inexperienced McCarron, the Bengals talent is good enough for a double-digit win—Under the Number.
Bengals 23 49ers 13
UPSET SPECIAL 6 – 7 – 1
Houston Texans (6-7) @ Indianapols Colts (6-7) -2 41.5 [U]
Charlie Whitehurst waits in the wings just in case 40 year-old Matt Hassleback’s sore ribs crack before or during game time.
Need I offer any other reasons as to why we expect an upset in Lucas Oil Stadium?
Although the Texans most recently lost a home game last week to the Pats and couldn’t beat Buffalo in Upstate New York, they had won five of six games, including quality wins against the Bengals and Jets.
But the key to Houston ultimately emerging with the AFC South crown—watch out for the Spotted Cats—is the resurrection of 2014’s first overall pick, Jadeveon Clowney, who rudely introduced himself to Tom Brady during two sacks last week.
This kid jumped South Carolina as a junior, then endured sports hernia surgery, a torn meniscus, micro-fracture of the knee, and is nursing a hamstring going into what essentially is a playoff game in Indy.
Everyone says he is becoming the dominant force he was in college. If JC can stay healthy, the Texans defense improves to elite—but that’s a sizeable “IF.”
J.J. Watt is still da man who will torture any poor slug quarterbacking the Baby Horses…
We’ll take the Shit Kickers and the two points, Under the Total…
Texans 21 Colts 16
O/U OF THE WEEK 8 – 5 – 1
Detroit Lions (4-9) @ New Orleans Saints (5-8) -3.5 41 [O]
I heard more than one self-proclaimed pundit say after two sub-par seasons, Sean Payton is headed to Miami and Drew Brees is going home to Play for the Texans.
Owner Tom Benson can’t be that stupid, can he?
Payton not only changed the culture of a football team, he helped a city survive a tragedy called Katrina. He also signed Drew Brees and won a Super Bowl in 09‘.
Haven’t the Rooneys and Maras, and Krafts taught their fellow owners anything? Wanting to change coaches is an NFL owner’s prerogative. But before an owner pulls the trigger of a gun maybe unknowingly pointing to his temple, shouldn’t he ask, “Who out there is better?” There are a lot of former, young, qualified coordinators dotting the NFL head coaching landscape, like Gus Bradley, Dan Campbell, and Rex Ryan. Their records as head coaches haven’t yet been written…
We won’t know how things will turn out in J’Ville or Atlanta; we see the same Ryanesque problems in Buffalo, but if Benson is smart, he’ll extend his head coach right now and give Brees a shot to regain form next year.
Brees, although elite in any analysis and an all time great, is 36; his departure might save the team money next year, but who replaces him?
The Steelers stuck with Big Ben through false accusations of sexual assault. The Rooneys weathered the brief thunderstorm when Mike Tomlin interfered with a Ravens kick-off return. The Maras kept Tom Coughlin in spite of his G-Men’s notoriously slow starts and Eli Manning’s inconsistency. Robert Kraft had Belichick’s back after the Spy-Gate that embarrassed his organization with unprecedented sanctions and supported Brady during the recently bungled deflated footballs controversy involving the NFL’s Pretty Boy.
Benson better learn lessons from the leagues most successful organizations unless he wants to see paper bags covering fans’ heads again.
Look at Detroit. Every 1-3 years they hire a different coach, hoping he will lead them to the February confetti-fest Payton brought to the Bayou. They recently fired GM Martin Mayhew.
Speculation is Jim Caldwell’s rump is roasting and Martha Ford will end up firing him at seasons end.
Maybe, Ms. Ford will hire Sean Payton and let him show Matthew Stafford what it means to be a champion.
Both of these clubs need a new vision on defense—and that’s a huge problem by itself.
That’s why we’re taking the Over.
We’re also betting on the Holy Men to bless the home crowd with a victory…
Saints 31 Lions 27
GAME OF THE WEEK 5– 7 – 2
Denver Broncos (10-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers(8-5) 44.5 [O]
Can the Bronco’s in your face corners, Chris Harris and Aquib Talib keep the “Big Bees” offense—Ben, throwing to Antonio Brown, and Matavis Bryant, even without Leveon Bell—out of the “No Fly Zone?”
That all depends on how good a day Von Miller and Demarcus Ware have against Alejandro Villanueva and the rest of the vastly improved Steelers offensive line…
I think this game boils down to which line opens the most holes and dominates on the ground. Since both teams have superb run defenses, and in a passing league where both sidelines plead for pass interference hankies on every pass play, the edge goes to the home team.
Big Ben is looking better than ever, and has Heath Miller, Marcus Wheaton, and DeAngelo Williams as options if the CHAT Room—my alternative nickname for the space the great Denver corners cover—is closed.
I guess the Gangsters are giving the Broncos the seven points because Brock Osweiler isn’t Peyton Manning. We’re kinda thinking he doesn’t have to be and his 3-1 record since Manning sat down prove the point.
In fact, we think the spread is inflated. So, we’re compelled to use both hands to rub this one out—Steelers win, Broncos Cover—Over the Total.
Steelers 27 Broncos 24
NFL Lines For Week 15 12/19 – 12/21, 2015
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|12/19 8:25 ET||Tampa Bay [O]||-3||At St. Louis||41.5|
|12/20 1:00 ET||At Minnesota||-5.5||Chicago||43|
|12/20 1:00 ET||At Jacksonville||-3.5||Atlanta||48|
|12/20 1:00 ET||At Indianapolis||-2 US [U]||Houston||41.5|
|12/20 1:00 ET||Kansas City||-7||At Baltimore||41|
|12/20 1:00 ET||Buffalo||-2||At Washington||44|
|12/20 1:00 ET||At New England||-14||Tennessee||47|
|12/20 8:30 ET||Arizona||-3.5||At Philadelphia||50.5|
|12/20 1:00 ET||Carolina||-4.5||At NY Giants||48|
|12/20 4:05 ET||At Seattle||-15||Cleveland||43|
|12/20 4:05 ET||Green Bay||-3||At Oakland||48|
|12/20 4:25 ET||At San Diego||-1.5||Miami||45.5|
|12/20 4:25 ET||At Pittsburgh GW||-7 [O]||Denver||44.5|
|12/20 4:25 ET||Cincinnati LW||-5.5 [U]||At San Francisco||40.5|
|12/19 8:25 ET||NY Jets [O]||-3||At Dallas||41.5|
|12/21 8:30 ET||At New Orleans||-3 [O/U]||Detroit||51|
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