2015 NFL Season Week 8 – FootballSunday, November 1, 2015 9:02
NFL Week 8 picks and analysis.
WEEK EIGHT SUNDAY
AFTER WEEK SEVEN
WEEKLY TALLY: 5 – 9 SPECIALS 1 – 3 O/U 3 – 4
OVERALL: 48 – 54 – 3 SPECIALS 13 – 12 – 3 O/U 24 – 16 – 1
GW 1 – 4 – 2
LW 5 – 2 – 0
US 3 – 3 – 1
O/U 4 – 3 – 0
WEEK EIGHT PICKS
UPSET SPECIAL: 3 – 3 – 1
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers +1 48 [O]
I pounced on this line Tuesday afternoon. Surprisingly it has held steady at most books. I think it’s the steal of the year. The Bengals are better and healthier all over the board. Andy, “Farkus” Dalton is playing with the swagger and confidence of that infamous Christmas Story creep. But this bully doesn’t wear braces or have just one tiny toady to back him up—he’s got 52 big, quick, fast friends he can bring to the fight—even against tough bully busters like division rival, Pittsburgh…
The Steelers get Big Ben Roethlisberger back —his “return from injuries” performances have been shaky, at best—and have the offensive firepower to hang in there with the Dalton Gang, but if the Pittsburgh secondary doesn’t address its bad play before Sunday, this one could ring up huge scoreboard returns for Cincy.
Say all you want about Dalton’s goose-egg in post season wins, he looks different to me this year. So do the Steelers—they are giving up embarrassingly large chunks of yards every week…
If Pittsburgh manages to pull this one out, it will cement Mike Tomlin as a top three coach, and will keep people like me wondering how Marvin Lewis keeps his job.
Either way, it promises to be a great game. The Cincy defense, with Vontaze Burfect returning, will make the big play.
I hope I am wrong on every point I just discussed—I’m betting the Striped Cats finally get over their Pittsburgh hump
Bengals 27 Steelers 23
GAME OF THE WEEK 1 – 3 – 2
Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos + 2.5 45.5 [O]
I think Aaron Rodgers is a great quarterback, but anyone who believes he belongs in the GOAT conversation hasn’t been watching Tom Brady for the last 15 years.
In this Sunday Nighter, Rodgers is far superior to Payton Manning, even if Manning’s arm wasn’t rag doll weak. In fact, Manning wouldn’t get my vote over Rodger’s if he were in his prime. Rodgers can hurt you in and out of the pocket.
If a defense can rush Manning, he will get frustrated.
Speaking of defense, Wild Horse fans will brag their defense may have to and can carry the listless Denver offense. Look at Denver’s schedule; look at who they’ve played: http://www.nfl.com/teams/denverbroncos/schedule?team=DEN
Their biggest margin of victory was a 12-point road win against the toothless Lions. The six teams they have beaten have won a total of thirteen games.
Green Bay is more balanced on both sides of the ball and even if their schedule is also less than awesome—they do have Aaron Rodgers.
The Broncos home field edge is second only to the Pats at the Razor—and it is, historically risky betting against the Broncos as home dogs.
We’ll still take the Pack to expose Denver and create a convincing victory out of thin air…Over the chalk number…
Packers 32 Broncos 20
O/U OF THE WEEK 4 – 2 – 0
New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints -3 49 (O)
Simple, right? Two of the league’s worst defenses…A top six offense playing at home against a Giant attack that is perplexingly inconsistent.
No doubt the final score should be decided by a field goal with both teams hitting the 30-point plateau…
Which, of course, given our analysis and the Gangster’s Karma, means the game will end in on a last second field goal, at 16-13.
Don’t believe it for a second. Even with JPP sporting a sadly depleted right hand, the Giants gotta know the NFC East is there for the taking. Conversely, the Holy Men are in the thick of the conference Wild Card race…
A lot is riding on this contest. We think the number is low and we think the Saints have superior offensive fire power and should be giving the G-Men at least two more than the usual three-point, home team edge.
Saints 33 Giants 24
As usual, all my picks are below in bold italics:
NFL Lines For Week 8 – 10/29 – 11/2, 2015
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/29 8:25 ET||At New England||-8 LW [O]||Miami||51.5|
|11/1 9:30 AM||K.C. (At London)||-3.5 [O]||Detroit||45.5|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At Chicago||-1||Minnesota||42.5|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At Atlanta||-7||Tampa Bay||49|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At New Orleans||-3 O/U||NY Giants||49|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At St. Louis||-8||San Francisco||39.5|
|11/1 1:00 ET||Arizona||-5.5||At Cleveland||46|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At Pittsburgh US||-1 [O]||Cincinnati||48|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At Baltimore||-3||San Diego||50.5|
|11/1 1:00 ET||At Houston||-4||Tennessee||42.5|
|11/1 4:05 ET||NY Jets||-3||At Oakland||44|
|11/1 4:25 ET||Seattle||-5||At Dallas||41|
|11/1 8:30 ET||Green Bay GW||-2.5 [O]||At Denver||45.5|
|11/2 8:30 ET||At Carolina||-7 [O]||Indianapolis||46|
Bye Weeks: Buffalo, Jacksonville, Philadelphia, Washington
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