2015 NFL Season Week 4 – NFL FootballSunday, October 4, 2015 9:30
NFL Week 4 picks and analysis.
WEEK FOUR SUNDAY
Week Four Notes
I took a lot of heat for my Thursday rant on clueless Steelers fans who must have never read Jonathan Swift or Oscar Wild. Little acerbic satire never hurt anyone—well, yeah, I guess it does—but I don’t give a damn…
It might be a while until my sons ask me to baby sit there new puppy.
Thank goodness, I didn’t follow my original impulse and suggest feeding stray, unwanted or too-old-to-rescue dogs to the homeless, but that would have been too derivative of Swift who had the colossal balls to pen this strangely mouth-watering paragraph:
I have been assured by a very knowing American of my acquaintance in London, that a young healthy child well nursed is at a year old a most delicious, nourishing, and wholesome food, whether stewed, roasted, baked, or boiled; and I make no doubt that it will equally serve in a fricassee or a ragout.
If I didn’t humbly respect Swift’s genius, I may have succumbed to the temptation to correct him. Everybody knows a calendar year is way past a baby’s culinary expiration date, after nine months the succulence of the meat loses its integrity
From the ninth months to forty-five days thereafter is the ideal preparation age…
Don’t you people watch the Food Channel?
Speaking of clueless Steelers fans…there is a discernable percentage of fans living in the Steel City who hate Mike Tomlin or Barack Obama—and it ain’t because they aren’t good at their jobs.
Any owner, any fan expects his coach to do one primary job–put his team in a position to win the game. Meaning, if the team makes a relatively simple play, victory is assured.
Missed field goals of 41 and 49 yards, a dropped, beautifully thrown Michael Vick touchdown pass at the hands of Antonio Brown, and epic fails on a pair of 2-yard 4th down conversions are the definitions of simple plays.
Of course, you can argue the play calls, Leveon Bell’s number never rang on either of those two plays—and why not roll Vick out and give him a couple short pass options or take an easy run?
But, why expect Tomlin to have any faith in alleged field goal kicker, Josh Scobee? He missed two very makeable kicks and another was tipped at the line before sneaking inside the left upright. Scobee was leaning left all night. Pittsburgh has a good offensive line and the offensive weapons that had been making the two-point conversion routinely.
Tomlin made the percentage decision based on Scobee’s performance that evening and in-season experience…That’s good coaching.
Also notice the kind of game Michael Vick played…Intelligent…Willing to take sacks, didn’t fight for an unimportant yard and get blasted…No picks…No late throws over the middle. He missed an easy out to Brown that would have iced the game, but otherwise had his team set for a win.
With only a day and a half’s prep, Vick played winning football.
He was well coached.
If you catch a gander at this year’s first game played on London’s pitch by the New York Jets and Miami Mammals, focus on Fish head man, Joe Philbin, when the camera’s on him. If you look closely, you can plainly see tread marks on his neck…
Some current players all but said the team quit on him. Former players derisively wondered if the team hadn’t “taken on the personality of its head coach…
Talk about acerbic satire.
AFTER WEEK THREE
You want a lackluster performance when it counted?
Ladies and Gentlemen, feast here your eyes:
CUMULATIVE: 7 – 9
OVERALL: 23 – 24 – 1 SPECIALS 6 – 5 – 1 O/U 11 – 6 – 1
GW 1 – 1 – 1
LW 1 – 2 – 0
US 1 – 2 – 0
O/U 3 – 0 – 0
After an all too brief absence Mr. Mediocre has come home to roost.
I know not for how long.
At least we are making winning picks on the Chalk numbers.
WEEK FOUR PICKS
UPSET SPECIAL: 1 – 2 – 0
St. Louis Rams @ Arizona Cardinals - 7 43.5 [U]
I think Jeff Fisher is the best coach who never earned a Super Bowl ring, never won a division championship and has lost more post-season games than he’s won. Fisher exemplifies, giving teams lacking talent, or ravaged by injuries a chance to win games they really should not be in. (BTW, Fisher has earned blame for the Rams lack of talent.)
In the desert Bruce Arians is gaining a reputation as a great leader of men and Carson Palmer has turned into a consistent, smart, and very coachable field general. These Cardinals are a mean, on edge bunch but Fisher will have his squad ready to go toe to toe.
This should be a classic low scoring, well played NFC West clash…
We’re kind of confident the Big Horns will cover under the number
Cardinals 17 Rams 16
LOCK OF THE WEEK 1 – 2 – 0
New York Jets @ Miami (London) + 1.5 42 [U]
This is a risky pick, I know…
You just can’t be sure how any team will respond to the sea change in its weekly routine…Jet lag…Strange environment…Bad food…Derbies…Incompetent dentistry…
I’m going against convention hoping the Fish don’t give up on Joe Philbin. Remember, he navigated the team skillfully through waters of Asshole-gate starring Richie Incognito.
The Mammals need to show some pride—just not cover the spread or score any touchdowns.
Jets 19 Dolphins 15
O/U OF THE WEEK 3 – 0 – 0
Dallas Cowboys @ New Orleans Saints -3 47.5 (O)
The Saints haven’t marched to a victory at home in there last six tries. They will come out with an attitude, and by all accounts a healthy Drew Brees. Against Brandon Weeden, that could mean a Holy Man blowout. Except the Cowpokes are a superior team on the interior. Their offensive line routinely dominates and their defense is starting to gel—and is a lot more talented than New Orlean’s fourth worst defense in the league.
I never underestimate Brees and he might keep this one close—way over the Total.
Saints 27 Cowboys 25
As usual, all my picks are below in bold italics:
NFL Lines For Week 4 – 10/4 – 10/5, 2015
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/4 9:30 AM||NY Jets LW [U]||-1.5||Miami (At London)||42|
|10/4 1:00 ET||At Indianapolis||-7.5||Jacksonville||46.5|
|10/4 1:00 ET||At Atlanta||-6||Houston||46.5|
|10/4 1:00 ET||Carolina||-3||At Tampa Bay||40|
|10/4 1:00 ET||At Buffalo||-5.5||NY Giants||45.5|
|10/4 1:00 ET||Oakland||-3||At Chicago||44.5|
|10/4 1:00 ET||Philadelphia||-3||At Washington||44|
|10/4 1;00 ET||At Cincinnati||-3.5||Kansas City||45|
|10/4 4:05 ET||At San Diego||-7||Cleveland||45|
|10/4 4:25 ET||Green Bay||-7.5||At San Francisco||48|
|10/4 4:25 ET||At Denver||-7||Minnesota||42.5|
|10/4 4:25 ET||At Arizona US [U]||-7||St. Louis||43.5|
|10/4 8:30 ET||At New Orleans||-3 O/U||Dallas||47.5|
Monday Night Football Line
|10/5 8:30 ET||At Seattle [O]||-10||Detroit||43|
Bye Weeks: New England, Tennessee
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