2015 NFL Season Week 1 – NFL FootballSunday, September 13, 2015 7:00
2015 AFC predictions and NFL Week 1 picks and analysis.
No contest in this writer’s mind—Andy Reid is the only great coach in this division…I’ve always loved the guy. His ability to maintain focus and be a leader amidst intense personal and professional adversity is admirable.
Nope. Not the Obvious choice of the elder Manning. His post-season record is awful and he is on the downside of up in his career… With the right receivers and offensive line, Manning can still carry the Broncos to another AFC title but he won’t do it this year.
Phillip Rivers wears this crown. Not because of his stellar post-season history, but because he has performed consistently well with second tier wide-outs who the Chargers can’t compel to stay with the team—in San Diego, no less—and almost no running game once LT left the fold. Rivers has shown up for 10 years with half-loaded weapons on offense—and never had the defense his draft classmates, Big Ben, and Little Peyton enjoyed. Much of the time, Eli’s inconsistency, and Ben’s sometimes sloppy post-season efforts were masked by great defense and bruising running games.
I’ll crawl all the way out on the limb—Denver misses the playoff in 2015. The Bronc’s 2014 number four ranking on defense is skewed because no division foe had an offense ranked above the Bolts’ 18th—simply, the Wild Horses beat up on a weak division.
The Arrowheads enter 2015 with a beefed up offensive line, the best return game in the league—and the NFL’s most competent “game manager,” Alex Smith, at QB.
The Chiefs had the second best scoring defense in the league last year. The players love Andy Reid. The last time that happened, his team played in four NFCCGs in a row.
I love Bill Bradley in Houston…The guy has no fear…He took the reins at Penn State in the wake of the Jerry Sandusky disaster and held that team, that school, and that part of my home state as steady as a surgeon’s hands. I hate the Nittany Lions; I’m a Pitt guy—but O’Brien should have a statue somewhere on campus. He saved that program.
Don’t laugh—I’m giving this nod to the Jags’ Gus Bradley. Listening to this Guy talk about football gets me fired up enough to put on some pads and hit someone. From all accounts his players have caught his fever. The AFC South is not going to be what is has been for way too many years…
Best Quarterback…Best Chance…
Well, okay, maybe it will be for one more year. Andrew Luck has no peer in his division. I better be right because Luck will have to carry an aging back seven on defense and two rookies starting on the interior defensive line.
On offense, Luck has long-toothers Frank Gore and Andre Johnson to deflect the target from his back. The Horseshoes have talent, but they are old and not especially deep.
The only reason Bradley and Houston aren’t picked here is Bryan Hoyer has to prove he’s no fluke. Until that happens, Luck will cash in on the ticket to the playoffs.
In this division? Please…Brady…
Conference? No question…Brady…
League? Not even a close second…Brady…
Of all time? Only Montana can sit on the same shelf with Brady. But Tommy Boy never had a GOAT receiver to throw to. In fact, Brady has made every receiver he’s ever thrown to look better than their talent warranted.
Couple that with rarely having a better than average defense and musical chairs at running back and Brady’s record comes into clearer relief as the NFL’s all-time standard.
In their day, Staubach, Bradshaw—even Starr played with legends on both sides of the field and on the sidelines. Ollie Matson, Johnny Unitas, Marino, Favre, all have a case to make. Only Brady can win the day…
Besides the disgrace that is Bill Belichick and three great seasons with Randy Moss, and the recent years throwing to a Semi with hands who runs a 4.5 40, called Rob Gronkowski, who else in red, white, and blue, will even sniff the HOF? McGuinest? Harrison?
Belichick has earned a lifetime ban from the game—otherwise, Pete Rose should be a HOFer.
Rose Gambled, lied about it, and wouldn’t admit what he was caught doing. I can’t imagine the man, knowing his on field and competitive character, ever bet against his team.
Rex Ryan blew the bandleader in New York and seeks redemption upstate. I like Todd Bowles, but the Jets are just a mess.
Joe Philbin held The Fish steady amid the rough waters caused by Richie Incognito and Jonathan Martin issue—and his defense, now headed by a Boy Named Suh, and former CFL monster, Cameron Wake is healthy, built to neutralize Brady, and could be dominant.
Thin and wispy as this limb might be—the Dolphins are going to win the East this year.
They are more balanced than the Pats; Lamar Miller is emerging as a standout running back and Ryan Tannehill, by almost every account, many national, will have a breakout year.
The Jets and Bills are also improved. Now that these guys know the depth of Belichick’s cheating, the six intra-divisional games against the Pats will evolve from easy wins against inferior foes, for New England, to very tightly contested battles against teams looking for revenge.
As long as they have Brady, the Pats can embarrass anyone—ask Pittsburgh.
But this year, New England will have to fight for its playoff life…
To hear a not-so silent-majority of racist Pittsburgh fans, Mike Tomlin is the worst head coach this side of Bobby Petrino…
We think he’s the best in the division for two reasons:
- I’d never live it down with friends and family if I picked the equally deserving John Harbaugh…
- Thankfully, head-to-head against the barely tolerable Harbaugh, Tomlin is 10-9 and 2-1 in the post season…
I still marvel at Marvin Lewis’ continued employment by the Striped Cats. Playoff performances evidently do not matter to Mike Brown…
Mike Pettine is still finding his legs in Cleveland, but anybody who watched the Browns play last year knows Pettine is a hell of a defensive coach—and the Browns are the unluckiest team in the league. They just can’t catch a break.
If Cleveland’s fortunes reverse themselves…you never know…
I’ll take Big Ben over any other QB in the North…
Joe Flacco comes in second by default. Andy Dalton can’t win a playoff game—and I don’t even care, who is starting for the Browns in Week One…
I have nary a clue… Each team’s “IFS” are huge… IF the putrid Steelers secondary can become merely competent. IF the Ravens get over the loss of Haloti Naga—and find a stud receiver…IF Andy Dalton can play up to his contract…IF Marvin Lewis can win a playoff game…
We’ll go with the Steelers because of the Super “Bs”—Big Ben, Antonio Brown, Leveon Bell, and Martavis Bryant.
- 1. KANSAS CITY
- 2. MIAMI
- 3. PITTSBURGH
- 4. INDIANAPOLIS
- 5. NEW ENGLAND
- 6. BALTIMORE
The Steelers avenge last year’s playoff loss…
New England loses to Indy…
The Fish eat Pittsburgh…
Kansas City trounces Indy…
Alex Smith out game manages Ryan Tannehill…
Andy Reid faces off against his former team and the man who replaced him in Philadelphia, Chip Kelly.
After five conference championship games, only two ending in victories; after more personal upheaval than one man should ever have to deal with; after a heart breaking loss to the Cheaters in Super Bowl XXIX, Andy Reid triumphs over the Eagles!
Jamaal Charles – MVP
WEEK ONE PICKS
We started off on a real sour note as the Steelers managed to suck just enough to force a push in the game’s waning seconds…And, New England sucked just enough to let Pittsburgh stay in the game while not even approaching the Vegas number…
GAME OF THE WEEK: 0 – 0 – 1
OVERALL: 0 – 0 – 1
CUMULATIVE O/U: 0 – 1
LOCK OF THE WEEK
Miami Dolphins @ Washington Native Americans + 3.5 43.5 (U)
Well, the Fish need to start swimming from game one if they hope to pull of what a surprising gaggle of pundits thinks they have the talent and coaching to pull off.
Meanwhile, the Nates are a badly managed organization and Jay Gruden has too many battles with Daniel Snyder to get his team ready for weekly battles on the gridiron.
The Karmic gods are going to send a message to Daniel Snyder in 2015.
Give the home dog Nates the points and bet the Under.
Dolphins 31 Nates 13
O/U OF THE WEEK
Cincinnati Bengals @ Oakland Raidas +3 43.5 (O)
We love this baby. Oakland is going to be a factor in the West if not the AFC. Both squads are gifted offensively with young, hungry defenses featuring just enough seasoned veterans. Derek Carr has a breakout game as the Silver & Black try revive the mystique of the once intimidating Black Hole.
Home dog Oakland takes it to the Queen City Cats in a real AFL style shootout.
That means take the Over!
Raidas 33 Bengals 30
Indianapolis Colts @ Buffalo Bills +3 45.5 (O)
All three Sunday Specials involve Week One home dogs and we’re taking those hounds in two of our three picks…
Week One Home Dogs are safer plays as teams can still use schemes they hid in the pre-season—or some teams just are better than what the Gangsters show them to be…
These Bills have a hell of a defense, folks; Rex Ryan makes any defense better especially when that “D” has led the league in sacks the previous year. They will torture Andrew Luck all day and if Indy isn’t careful they could have a long day…
Here’s the kicker: The Buffalo offense is loaded, too—and the Indy defense is never scary.
Sammy Watkins…Lesean McCoy….Percy Harvin, Richie Incognito stabilizing the line, Charles Clay at tight end. If Tyrod Taylor can just make a few plays and take care of the ball, Buffalo, could be a mean AFC dark horse.
Indy has the multi-talented, hard-working, and uber smart Andrew Luck calling signals—and not much else.
The Bills make a statement…Take the Over…
Bills 29 Colts 21
NFL Lines For Week One 9/10 – 9/14, 2015
Date & Time Favorite Line Underdog Total
P 9/10 5:00 ET @ N. E GW -7 Pittsburgh 52 (0)
9/13 1:00 ET Green Bay -7 At Chicago 49
9/13 1:00 ET At Houston -1 Kansas City 40.5
9/13 1:00 ET At NY Jets -3.5 Cleveland 39.5
9/13 1:00 ET Indy US -2.5 At Buffalo 45.5
9/13 1:00 ET Miami LW -3.5 At D.C. 43.5
9/13 1:00 ET Carolina -3 At Jax 40.5
9/13 1:00 ET Seattle -4 At St. Louis 41
9/13 4:05 ET At Arizona -2.5 New Orleans 48.5
9/13 4:05 ET At San Diego -3 Detroit 45.5
9/13 4:25 ET At Tampa -3 Tennessee 41.5
9/13 4:25 ET Cincy O/U -3 At Oakland 43.5 (O)
9/13 4:25 ET At Denver -4.5 Baltimore 48.5
9/13 8:30 ET At Dallas -6 NY Giants 51.5
Monday Night Football Line
9/14 7:10 ET Philadelphia -3 At Atlanta 55.5
9/14 10:20 ET Minnesota -2.5 At San Francisco 41.5
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