NFL 2014 AFC Championship & NFC Championship Picks & Analysis – FootballSaturday, January 17, 2015 15:30
Picks and analysis for the AFC Championship Games & NFC Championship Game of the 2014 NFL season.
NFL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND
We’ll have the year-end wrap up next week.
As things keep getting worse for the Gairzo…
It hit me this week; why people speak in the third person when referring to themselves….To disassociate from a loser.
Not to be overly self critical…
The post season has obliterated what began as a potentially promising enterprise for yours truly. Last couple weeks my analysis was pretty much spot on, except in the Denver affair where it would have been nice to know Peyton Manning had a torn quad instead of simple fatigue.
We simply took the wrong side of the hook in a few games—we gave the Cowboys 5.5 and they lose by five.
That’s life in the fast lane.
And that’s why I love doing this—the Gangsters know what the hell they are doing—and you better be able to afford to lose what you bet.
Let’s try to go against the conventional wisdom, this week and carve up the baby in both games.…
GREEN BAY PACKERS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS – 7 .5 46.5 [O]
Every single expert has the Pack getting blown out in this one, given Rodgers’ torn calf and Seattle’s ferocious defense. When you add a Green Bay defense that won’t stop Marshawn Lynch from Beast Moding all over Century Link Field, the packers don’t have a shot.
Hold on there, pardner…
Since their Week 4 bye, the Gulls have beaten The Cardinals and…the Cardinals—representing the only playoff team they have beaten. They lost to the Rams, Chiefs, and Cowboys.
Since their Week 9 bye, the Pack spanked the Pats and Lions; their one bad loss to the Bills.
Pundits are talking about Aaron Rodgers lower leg as if he will be the only QB on the field. Russell Wilson is the game’s most intelligent quarterback and he’ll lead the game winning drive to melt the Cheeseheads—but the Pack will keep it close and cover.
We’re taking the Over…
Seahawks 27 Packers 21
GAME OF THE WEEK
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -7 54 [O]
Chuck Pagano has his boys believing they can win.
Bill Belichick’s squad knows it will win.
According to pundits…The Colts are in this AFCCG via a weak schedule and a fortuitous draw in the playoffs.
These Patriots are here because of an historically great quarterback and a tainted coach still seeking redemption…(Amazing, isn’t it? He finds a way to keep he and his team hungry, doesn’t he?)
First, anyone who knows me has seen me hold Belichick, his players, and Robert Kraft to the fire over cheating—but anyone who applies that label to Belichick’s brilliant exploitation of the rules regarding eligible receivers doesn’t know the game.
As a Steelers fan, I would hope Mike Tomlin would congratulate Belichick should he ever be so publicly spanked and not whine like a spoiled bitch which is the exact image that comes to mind when I think of John Harbaugh.
“Clearly deceptive…” Yeah, Coach, so is a hard count, motion in the backfield, and a play action pass.
What a pussy.
Everything points to a decisive Patriot win—precisely why, I’m taking Indy to cover.
People are underestimating Indy’s defense, their pass rush has improved to a top 10 finish, as has their pass defense.
There was something in the way Pagano spoke about his team, after last weeks beat down of Denver. Pagano implied his team had a strength and unity other people couldn’t see.
Maybe it had something to do with the Colts’ family overcoming Pagano’s cancer diagnosis.
Andrew Luck had his way with the AFC’s best defense, made four clutch throws, but threw two picks.
The Horseshoe defense forced a fumble and covered well on the deep ball—the offensive line gave up no sacks.
New England better not take Indy lightly. Even if they don’t, the Colts will lose a shoot out, Over the number and within the spread.
Patriots 33 Colts 27
NFL Lines AFC & NFC Title Games 1/18/15
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|1/18 3:05 ET||At Seattle US [O]||-7.5||Green Bay||46.5|
|1/18 6:40 ET||At New England [O]||-6.5 GW||Indianapolis||54|
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