NFL 2014 Week 9 Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, November 2, 2014 6:00
Picks and analysis for Week 9 of the 2014 season.
NFL WEEK 9
NFL WEEK 9 PICKS
The gangsters took their figurative Louisville Sluggers to Gairzo’s knees last week, giving him his first real beating of the of the 2014 season…
We’re sill competitive with the CBS.com crew and only three games short of the .500 Mendoza line, but we got beat up, picking only five of fifteen games right in Week Eight.
WEEK EIGHT ATS = 5 – 10 CUMULATIVE ATS = 58 – 61 – 2
SPECIAL TALLY WEEK EIGHT = 2 – 2 CUMULATIVE SPECIALS = 16 – 16
GAME OF THE WEEK 3 – 5
LOCK OF THE WEEK 3 – 5
UPSET SPECIAL 2 – 6
O/U OF THE WEEK 8 – 0 WEEKLY O/Us 2 – 2
PREMEIRE PARLAY 1 – 1 CUMULATIVE O/Us 20– 19
GAME OF THE WEEK 3 – 5
BALTIMORE RAVENS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS  (O)
Usually the safe bet here is the Under—hated rivals with control of the division at stake. In the last four years these two teams have never approached the Total (48) in the regular season. Pittsburgh won the 2011 playoff game 31-24
We are bucking that rare trend because until the current NFL campaign these two team played superb—Oh, wow, I forget the term…deference?…. difference…defunding…DEFENSE!!!
Oh yeah, defense. Entering Week 9, these two teams each field a mediocre defense. Ravens fans will latch onto their purple-clad defense yielding only 16 points a game.
Steelers fans are hoping the improvement Dick Lebeau’s boys have shown in the last two games—albeit giving up 34 to the Colts—continues with the return of NT Steve McClendon and rookie ILB Ryan Shazier.
The NFL’s two most underrated quarterbacks come into this game with their respective arrows pointing up. Big Ben has lots of new talent to work with and could tax Baltimore’s secondary, depleted from injury and youth.
Joe Flacco and Steve Smith are getting to know each other well enough to concern any defense, as should Justin Forsett and the Ratbird’s running attack.
Haloti Naga is the best nose tackle in the game; his hate for all things Steelers is palpable. He loves to torture Big Ben; he’s not alone. Terrel Suggs holds Ben in the darkest hole of his psyche.
If the Steelers suddenly competent offensive line can give Ben a little time, and we think they will, the Steelers have the receivers to score a lot of points.
Flacco will get the Ravens 24 points, but Leveon Bell and Big Ben will steal the victory with a late touchdown
Steelers 30 Ravens 24
UPSET SPECIAL 2 – 6
ARIZONA CARDINALS @ DALLAS COWBOYS – 3.5  (U)
We jumped on this line last Saturday—we’re learning how to tilt the tables our way by seizing on early spreads. (A disastrous five-win week was a very rude wake-up call.)
We love this pick even if Tony Romo might play the game with a fractured back. To even think of him taking a hit is frightening. I hate the Cowboys but, a fractured back? Wow…I hope someone talks him out of it.
Say all you want about Romo, dumb mistakes, lack of focus, whatever. Never question the guys desire or his toughness.
Whoever the Cowboys put under center will face a Cardinals team looking for the signature win to put them in the Super Bowl contender conversation.
To me the Red Birds are already in that discussion.
After reading this…
I regret putting Dallas in that conversation three short days ago.
I keep forgetting…As long as Jerry Jones runs the Dallas Cowboys, they will always be a big Texas show, a unique attraction, and a ratings grabber—but they’ll never be a great football team.
Arizona is relatively healthy, and looking for respect. The Cowboys are trying to recover from a let down loss after idiots like me put them and “NFL’s best team” in the same sentence.
This match up pits the number one road defense of Arizona against the awesome running game and offensive line of Dallas. We believe the Red Birds will win that battle and cover Under the Number.
Cardinals 26 Cowboys 17
LOCK OF THE WEEK 3 – 5
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS +3 [49.5] (O)
My prediction: Saints 37 Panthers 24
Final score: Saints 28 Panthers 10
However, I did not ascribe Lock of the Week status in the copy I sent to his editorness, Nate Barlow.
But, that pick was appropriately identified in my picks found below.
I’m taking credit for it as a Special win and as a failed Over/Under pick—and I’ll make the following secondary Lock selection:
LOCK OF THE WEEK II 3 – 5
NEW YORK JETS @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS – 9.5  (U)
I’m not enamored with the Under pick, but I’m sticking with it because the Chiefs usually play a conservative game, their offense is built for long sustained drives, and the Jets don’t look like a well-oiled machine even with Michael Vick replacing Gino Smith.
Andy Reid coached Vick in Philadelphia—he won’t be surprised by anything his former protégé throws at him. New York still boasts an excellent front seven capable of wreaking havoc on Alex Smith. There might be a defensive touchdown that threatens the Total—barring that, this one won’t get near the Number.
Chiefs 24 Jets 13
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK 8 – 0
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS @ NEW YORK GIANTS +3 (51)
Coming off a bye or not, I just can’t see the erratic, mistake prone Eli Manning out-gunning the shrewd and exceptionally gifted Andrew Luck.
Last week, the Colts were behind by 18, then 25 points, and at no time did this Steelers fan feel like the game was won.
But, the Colts defense gave up over 600 yards to a Steelers team that was kicked all over the field in a 31-10 spanking in Cleveland, and barely got by the game, but lowly Jaguars.
Tom Coughlin will have Big Blue ready.
Chuck Pagano should have no trouble motivating his guys after the Steel City Smack Down.
This one will be a shoot out—take the Over.
Colts 33 Giants 27
As usual, my picks are in italics below:
NFL Lines For Week 9 – 10/30 – 11/3, 2014
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/30 8:25 ET||New Orleans LW||-2.5 [O]||At Carolina||48.5|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Miami||-2||San Diego||44|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Cincinnati||-11||Jacksonville||43|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Cleveland||-7||Tampa Bay||44|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Minnesota||-1.5||Washington||44|
|11/2 1:00 ET||Philadelphia||-2||At Houston||48.5|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Kansas City LW||-9.5 [U]||NY Jets||41.5|
|11/2 1:00 ET||At Dallas US||-3.5 [U]||Arizona||47|
|11/2 4:05 ET||At San Francisco||-9.5||St. Louis||44|
|11/2 4:25 ET||Denver||-3||At New England||55|
|11/2 4:25 ET||At Seattle||-14.5||Oakland||43|
|11/2 8:30 ET||Baltimore GW||-1 [U]||At Pittsburgh||48|
|11/3 8:30 ET||Indianapolis O/U||-3||At NY Giants||51|
Bye Weeks: Atlanta, Buffalo, Chicago, Detroit, Green Bay, Tennessee
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