NFL 2014 Week 7 Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, October 19, 2014 9:01
Picks and analysis for Week 7 of the 2014 season.
NFL WEEK 7
Mike Florio Is A Pedantic, Tiresome, Blowhard and a Big Baby!
This week we’ll put a bow on the Mike Florio affair using my third posted comment—this time we saved it—Florio deleted within minutes after I ranted on his insipid statements in this post:
Again, make sure you read Florio’s entire post regarding the woman, Jammie Lynne Ficarelli, who, it turns out, falsely accused Marshawn Lynch of an assault.
Here was my comment to Florio; the italicized portion is taken, verbatim, from Florio’s original post. Within 30 minutes, my entire comment was scrubbed from his sight:
I know this won’t stay posted–you took down two previous critical posts–because they were directed at you being a lawyer; a typical, condescending, pedantic lawyer who takes himself and his profession wayyyyy to seriously…
Here’s the most recent example:
“At one level, the decision to charge Ficarelli could prompt other victims of violence at the hands of professional athletes to not come forward. But there’s a delicate balance to strike in cases of this nature. With NFL players facing unprecedented scrutiny and consequences based simply on allegations, it’s critical that false allegations not be made.”
1.) If the decision to charge Ficarelli deters other liars to not come forward–Good!
2,) She, and way too many other false accusers, are not anyone’s victim.
3.) There is no “delicate balance to strike in these cases.” Once the cops know someone has made a false statement, that individual should be prosecuted.
4.) It’s “critical false allegations not be made”…Thank you, Captain Obvious.
Get over yourself Florio, face the facts about what lawyers like you do. They do not seek the truth–they want only to win whatever “legal” point or position they advocate.
They use convoluted language designed to necessitate re-reading because, too often, too many lawyers do not seek to clarify through words–they seek only to obfuscate and confuse.
The less reputable ones do this to show off their massive egos—and justify 450.00/hour fees.
You’d think a stand-up guy who trolls for site hits would have thicker skin.
Sack up, Florio. You do a good job; let people criticize you when you deserve it.
WEEK 7 PICKS
I’m managing to stay close to .500, but every year, the NFL is unpredictable. Usually if a handicapper hangs around even in the season’s first half, he gets better in the second.
GAIRZO AGAINST CBS
Two of the CBS eight experts are outperforming yours truly—but they tend to fade down the stretch. Lots of picks to be made. Here’s my score sheet:
WEEK SIX ATS = 7 – 8 CUMULATIVE ATS = 45 – 44 – 2
SPECIAL TALLY WEEK FIVE = 2 – 2 CUMULATIVE SPECIALS = 12 – 12
GAME OF THE WEEK 3 – 3
LOCK OF THE WEEK 2 – 4
UPSET SPECIAL 1 – 5
O/U OF THE WEEK 6 – 0 WEEKLY O/Us 2 – 4
PREMEIRE PARLAY 1 – 0 CUMULATIVE O/Us 14– 17
GAME OF THE WEEK
SAN FRANCISCO 49ERs @ DENVER BRONCOS – 7 
Peyton Manning fulfills his destiny on this week’s SNF telecast. Well, that’s how the NFL wants this baby to play out—you didn’t think this game was scheduled for this Sunday Night by accident did you—with the agonizingly prolonged post-game interview consisting of the following questions:
- What was going through your mind when…?
- What did it feel like when you saw your record breaking pass caught?
- What does this mean for your legacy?
Manning could upset the touchy-feely apple cart with these respective answers:
- Chicken Parm you taste so good…
- Well, I thought about how lucky my teammates are to have me at quarterback 510 TDs…Friggin’ amazing…
- Legacy? If some underpaid scientist discovers a vaccine for Ebola, then we’re talking legacy. I’m playing a child’s game…
But we all know what Manning’s answers will be.
Truth is, NFL records mean absolutely nothing compared to those in most every other sport—until steroids cheaters violated the sanctity of baseballs iconic numbers…61…714…755.
Thankfully, the fact historians have identified that “era” of cheating mitigates its negative impact on the games history.
When I was playing Little League I ask my coach, why even the faster guys couldn’t outrun a routine grounder.
His simple answer? “Because, that’s baseball.”
Steroids aside, baseball hasn’t fundamentally changed in its its 100+ history.
NFL Football has become an entirely different game than it was four decades ago
Here’s are some numbers you can offer when someone tries to argue otherwise:
Number of teams giving up less than 300.1 yards per game in 1976 = 17
[Before 5-yard rule, bumping/contact legal after five yards, Before Goodell, (BG)]
Number of teams giving up less than 300.1 yards per game in 1985 = 8
[After Mel Blount rule, post Daryl Stingley, BG]
Number of teams giving up less than 300.1 yards per game in 1991 = 10
[Not much change, this era saw the beginning of the transition from smurfish receivers to much bigger and stronger wide outs. BG]
Number of teams giving up less than 300.1 yards per game in 2013 = 1
(After Goodell, after threat of concussion litigation, CTE revelations.]
Number of teams giving up less than 300.1 yards per game in 2014 = 2
One way or another Peyton Manning will fulfill his destiny—but it won’t be against these Jim Harbaugh led 49ers.
What better motivation than to ask a group of men to kick history in the balls?
Take San Fran and the Over.
49ers 27 Broncos 24
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS @ DETROIT LIONS – 2.5 
Sean Payton wins over 60% of his games ATS off the bye. He has two weeks to prepare and the guy can hurt you with his play calling.
I’m not buying Detroit as a legitimate contender. They are atrocious at home ATS and lost to Buffalo at home and Carolina, convincingly, on the road—two teams a top 12 team should soundly beat. I think the Lions number one defensive ranking is a mirage as their only win against a quality team was the 19-7 home win against a Packers squad that couldn’t run if they were Michael Corleone’s nose.
The Holy Men go into Ford Field with a losing record knowing they must play the Panthers twice in the next nine weeks. They also know if they can win in the Lion’s dome today, they might go to bed tied for first place in the NFC South. The Panthers have to upset the Pack later today, at Lambeau, to maintain a one game lead in the division.
Payton knows his Holy Men need to make a statement—now.
I’m betting New Orleans wins outright, and the trends scream the Total will be Under the number.
Saints 26 Lions 23
LOCK OF THE WEEK
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ST. LOUIS RAMS +6.5 [43.5]
The world champion Seahawks went from discussing the possibility of a dynasty to bandaging the spur marks the Cowboys kicked into their tiny gull rumps—and it wasn’t a fluke win folks, the Dallas offensive line is a force to be reckoned with and the NFC knows it.
Seattle must exorcise the psychological damage the Cowboys inflicted.
That means the usual close, hard fought tussle against the Rams in the shadow of the Arch is going to turn into a major hurt-down administered by a team pissed off at being knocked off their perch onto one racked with injury, inexperience, and uneven play for the last five years.
Lock this baby in as a win for the visitors barely over the number.
‘Hawks 27 Rams 19
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK
HOUSTON TEXANS @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS – 4 
I really try to remain objective when handicapping a Steelers game. The goal is much easier attained when Pittsburgh is a focused, disciplined, punishing force than when they stink worse than an anchovy’s ass.
However, I am an optimist and have convinced myself that the infusion of new blood into the defense—CB, Brice McCain, DE, Stephon Tuitt, and 6,7’ 352 pound NT, Daniel McCullers are slated to start Monday Night—will spark the Steelers into some degree of football sanity.
To me, it is infinitely easier watch the St. Louises or Jacksonvilles of the world struggle every week, than when a defense constantly overruns gaps, takes stupid penalties and generally embarrasses themselves against a beatable division opponent.
Don’t get me wrong, Cleveland handed the Steelers that anchovy’s ass in a very assertive and painful way last Sunday. Mike Pettine might be turning the Browns into something special and has a legit shot at COY honors.
It is time Ben Roethlisberger took his game to the next level—and he has the offensive horses to do it.
Big Ben was often carried by a formidable running game and consistently lethal defense since he was drafted in 2004.
It’s time he returned the favor and hit open receivers, got rid of the ball before taking a sack, and engineered TOUCHDOWN scoring drives instead of settling for field goals.
The huge, frightening, freakish obstacle standing in his way on Monday will be J.J. Watt, who has blocked more passes than a nun at a ninth grade social. In the last six games, the guy has returned a pick and a fumble for a TD. Nobody else in 94 years has done that in a full season.
He’s the kind of player that can destroy entire cities of manly men.
Counting a tipped pass one of Watt’s teammates returns for six, and a safety the Lone Star freak levels on LeVeon Bell, Watt will account for more than one-third of his team’s total.
I’m hoping Big Ben can drive for three touchdowns on one of the league’s worst defenses and push the Total over 44…
I’ll try to forget the Black & Gold already lost to the NFL’s worst defense.
Houston covers, Pittsburgh wins…
He said with head bowed and hands folded.
Steelers 24 Texans 22
As usual, my picks are in italics below:
NFL Lines For Week 7 10/16 – 10/20, 2014
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/16 8:25 ET||At New England||-9.5 [O]||NY Jets||46.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Indianapolis||-3||Cincinnati||49|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Washington||-3.5||Tennessee||46|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Chicago||-3.5||Miami||48.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||Cleveland||-4||At Jacksonville||45|
|10/19 1:00 ET||Seattle LW||-6.5 [O]||At St. Louis||43.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Green Bay||-7||Carolina||48.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Baltimore||-6.5||Atlanta||49.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Buffalo||-4||Minnesota||44.5|
|10/19 1:00 ET||At Detroit US||-2.5 [U]||New Orleans||52|
|10/19 4:05 ET||At San Diego||-5||Kansas City||46.5|
|10/19 4:25 ET||At Dallas||-4||NY Giants||48|
|10/19 4:25 ET||Arizona||-4||At Oakland||44|
|10/19 8:30 ET||At Denver GW||-7 [O]||San Francisco||47|
|10/20 8:30 ET||At Pittsburgh O/U||-4 [O]||Houston 44|
Bye Weeks: Philadelphia, Tampa Bay
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