NFL 2014 Week 6 Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, October 12, 2014 15:32
Picks and analysis for Week 6 of the 2014 season.
NFL WEEK 6
Mike Florio Is A Pedantic, Tiresome, Blowhard and a Big Baby!…Part One…
You know the name from ProFootballTalk.com (PFT). Mike Florio was a practicing attorney who started a little blog in his study. After a few years of focused, hard work, belief in himself and dogged persistence, NBC made an offer to make him a multi-millionaire, promote him and his blog—according to Florio, he did not surrender ownership or editorial control—and recently, Florio got a show on NBCSN, appears on every SNF telecast, and has become one of the most respected pundits on the NFL.
Until very recently, I respected and admired the guy. He attended my grad school—Carnegie Mellon University—and earned a law degree from West Virginia.
The last few years have revealed a different Mike Florio than the one who used to be an informed and very readable blogger.
I noticed something almost a year ago but didn’t think much about it: Several reader’s comments challenging a Florio post, or its author would suddenly disappear from the PFT website.
A few months later, a pointed entry I submitted calling out Florio for a clear, indisputable, factual error got scrubbed away.
In case anyone thinks I might be nit-picking or too sensitive, here is Mike Florio’s bio:
Scroll down to the “Errors and Eccentric Behavior” section—apparently, I’m not the only one who’s noticed Florio’s ego expanding more than his bank account since NBC’s 2009 partnership with PFT.
REAL TIME EXAMPLES
What follows are two relevant interactions I had with PFT which occurred just last week.
I’ll provide the link; please give Florio the courtesy of reading his entire posts. I didn’t save my exact comments, until I commented on a third item I submitted today—which was later scrubbed–but I remember what PFT item pissed me off and why.
Anyone who reads my stuff knows I was anti-Goodell before Olberman or any other “expert” thought it was cool to be so.
However, as the above PFT article suggests, the issue of when, and if, Goodell will testify during the Rice appeal is not up to the Commissioner. Indeed, the Goodell’s answer, “Judge Jones is the one who ultimately is going to make the rules and determinations” is the first time in years when Roger Goodell has answered any question regarding a legal matter forthrightly and accurately.
In my response to the above link, I quoted the very first commenter who wondered why an intelligent lawyer would transmogrify the context of Goodell’s answer to contrive a legal issue that doesn’t exist.
I then inquired if Florio’s law degree was purchased at Wal-Mart.
I’m kinda thinking that didn‘t sit well with the author.
Sometime later, my comment was scrubbed—but, my eyebrows were raised…
A couple days later Florio penned this PFT article:
Again this is bald-faced trolling and a lawyer’s nonsensical contrivance.
Here is the paragraph on which Florio hoists himself on his own pen:
His, [Peter Angelos], contention should prompt a full and complete investigation into whether and to what extent the Bears and other teams engaged in the behavior on which Angelo has blown the whistle. Allegations like Angelo’s can’t be ignored in the same way he claims the domestic violence incidents were.
My first thought was, Florio, are you out of your mind? (I believe that query along with the suggestion he may have purchased his law degree from Home Depot—I know it has to be a discount shop—got that post scrubbed.)
Jerry Angelo, alleged no crime, cover-up, or behavior that warrants a “full and complete investigation.” Anyone with a double digit IQ knows history and societal mores prior to the advent of social media treated issues such as domestic abuse in a cavalier and irresponsible manner.
In today’s world, you have victims taking real time videos of their own abuse; the security state records virtually every move we make. Corporate response matches the immediacy and impact of human brutality in a way we couldn’t conceive of 15-20 years ago.
Therefore, Jerry Angelo wasn’t blowing any whistle—he was giving us a painful history lesson that demands our attention and our commitment to apply that lesson in our homes and justice system.
Florio’s contrived reaction only proves he’s a pro at conflating legal terminology with events having only tangential legal context.
A perfect example is how—again in his annoying, condescending, know-it-all “lawyerly” tone—Florio insists the NFL cannot “re-punish” Rice after his initial two game suspension and too often supports that idiotic point by alluding to the 5th amendment’s double jeopardy clause.
Here’s the legal dictionary definition: http://legal-dictionary.thefreedictionary.com/double+jeopardy
Any two-bit huckster of a lawyer knows the double jeopardy clause has no bearing on what a company does to discipline its employees just as the 1st amendment free speech clause won’t help someone who got fired for bad-mouthing his company.
The Constitution determines what the laws government is allowed to impose on its citizens—and defines what laws the government must be prohibited from imposing
Florio probably doesn’t know the difference because he’s not just any two-bit huckster of a lawyer—he’s at the head of the class.
Next week, I’ll share the transcript of a third comment deleted by PFT and let my readers decide if the action was warranted.
WEEK 5 PICKS
Note to Readers: I have been picking O/Us every week for the three—in Week One, four—prime time matchups and that was one reason why I got confused about my tallies. Another reason is that I’ve been calling O/Us for every Special and I don’t count the Special O/U of the Week in the cumulative O/U results. The reason is the O/U of the Week is the closest thing to a sure bet I’m going to give you—and it’s special.
The figures below are accurate up until Thursday of Week Six…
WEEK FIVE ATS = 7 – 8 CUMULATIVE ATS = 38 – 36 – 2
SPECIAL TALLY WEEK FIVE = 2 – 2 CUMULATIVE SPECIALS = 10 – 10
GAME OF THE WEEK 2 – 3
LOCK OF THE WEEK 2 – 3
UPSET SPECIAL 1 – 4
O/U OF THE WEEK 5 – 0 WEEKLY O/Us 0 – 4
PREMEIRE PARLAY 1 – 0 CUMULATIVE O/Us 10 – 11
UPSET SPECIAL (1 – 4)
PITTSBURGH STEELERS@ CLEVELAND BROWNS – 2 (47)
Lot of talk in the Pittsburgh media about how poorly the Steelers have played against some pretty awful defenses. The fact is, good defense doesn’t really exist in the NFL. I’ll present a more detailed breakdown as we get to the 2014 season’s mid point, but for now, chew on this:
YEAR #1 TO #10 DEF. YPG RANGE TEAM RANK EQUAL TO 2014’s #10
2014 282 – 340 10th
2013 273 – 334 15th
2008 237 – 309 ` 23rd
2006 264 – 301 25th
2001 253 – 299 26th
NO NFL TEAM has played against a good defense in 2014, if the historical record means anything. It makes me sick how the NFL has handcuffed defenses. In 2006, the year Roger Goodell set out to ruin the league, the 25th “best” defense, (or the 7th worst), was as good as this years 10th best defense.
I better get back to my picks before I start crying…
Brown vs. Steelers will hinge on which versions of these two teams shows up.
The 21st century edition of the Cardiac Kids nearly gave Pittsburgh a collective heart attack in Week One when they tied the game late after trailing by 24 at halftime. Last week, the Browns spotted the Titans a 25-point lead—then set an NFL comeback record by notching a 29 – 28 victory.
What version of the Browns will take the field?
Excepting the Baltimore beat down on Week Two’s Thursday Nighter, the Steelers offense has dominated every team they’ve faced. If not for untimely or stupid penalties, dropped “in the gut” passes and a general lack of discipline on both sides of the ball, the Steelers would have beaten Tampa Bay. On the other hand, it took a late pick-six to seal an 8-point victory against the Jaguars.
Which Steelers team shows up?
And, let’s not forget, every team can point to one to three plays a game and say, “We would have won if…” The Browns could as easily be 0-4 as 4-0.
Ironically, I’m taking my Steelers because their defensive performance since the Ravens pecked them apart has steadily trended up, even with injuries to their young stud linebackers.
The Browns are trending down due to a ton of injuries. Besides, they can only cause whole cities to suffer cardiac arrest so long before their own tickers give out.
Take the Men of Steel and the Under.
Steelers 28 Browns 17
LOCK OF THE WEEK (2 – 3)
DALLAS COWBOYS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -8.5 (47)
Hey, I’ll admit to an enduring hate for everything that is the Cowboys; I just can’t bear the thought of Jerry Jones celebrating in that gorgeous, private box…Although the possibility of seeing that baseball stitched skull skin tearing from the strain caused by that toothy Texas grin would be worth the price of submission.
Seattle has to go into this one thinking they come out on top if they stack the lanes against Demarco Murray and the league’s best offensive line. That might be a fool’s errand even if the Cowboys are an average passing team. Romo has shown he is capable of making teams pay when they challenge the Cowboys to air it out. Dez Bryant looks like someone who has just seen a light; Jason Witten is a stud…
And then there’s Jerrah. The man just can’t keep his mouth shut:
Until they show consistency against good teams for at least ¾ of a season, the Cowboys remain big talkers and weak walkers.
Seattle has the players to shut Jones and his boys up on both sides of the ball—if they don’t and the Cowboys rope in a victory, Dallas becomes relevant again…
That, ladies and gentlemen would be unbearable—but I’m not picking Seattle for that reason. The ’Hawks are more talented, more together, and led by the more consistent coach.
This won’t be the shootout everyone thinks it will be—play the Under.
Seahawks 27 Cowboys 17
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK (5 – 0)
CAROLINA PANTHERS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS -3.5 (43.5)
Every time the Marvin Lewis led Bengals have an opportunity to make a national name for themselves by say, beating a struggling Patriots team in Foxboro, or, winning a playoff game, they come up short, in an all too often embarrassing way.
This Sunday the Striped Cats host the Black Cats. Unless Cam Newton lights up the Queen City like he lit up Charlotte and the visiting Bears last week, the Bengals could make it a long day for the Panthers.
If ever a team needed a home game, it’s Cincy, still licking the gashes inflicted by Tom Brady on the Bengal’s clueless defense.
Carolina’s defensive end, Charles Johnson finally got a sack last week after a great 2013. Without woman beater Greg Hardy to take care of double teams, Johnson can’t get to the passer. No pressure, no passing defense.
The Bengals might be thwarted by a toe. A.J. Green has turf toe and by all accounts the phenom receiver is in a lot of pain.
The trends point to a relatively low scoring game, but I believe both offenses have enough weapons to compel an Over bet. Besides, the number seems way to low for the offensive talent hoping to take the field—and the defenses couldn’t scare a jittery house cat
Bengals 30 Panthers 21
GAME OF THE WEEK (2 – 3)
NEW YORK GIANTS @ PHILADELPHIA EAGLES – 3
You gotta love Tom Coughlin. Every time the New York media pens his obituary, the G-Men claw their way out of the losing quicksand and start playing the way they are coached to play. Two weeks ago, the executioner was measuring Coughlin’s neck for the chopping block—now they are measuring him for a statue.
Then you have Chip Kelley—the Harry Houdini of the NFL coaching fraternity, Statistically, his mediocre offense and dirt-poor defense give us no reasons to think they have a shot in this game—and don’t deserve to be on prime time. Yet, his Bald Birds are 4-1, tied with Dallas for the lead in the NFC East.
Philly has pulled this rabbit out of the helmet without the usual brilliance of LeSean McCoy and Big Blue better be ready on special teams, because the Eagle are a top three team in punt and kickoff returns.
Even though I think the Giants are on the upswing, Philly has yet to have a great all around game. I think Kelley waves his magic wand and Philly takes care of business—and Take the over.
Eagles 33 Giants 27
Please remember, day I pick ATS much earlier in the week; the spread might be different on Sunday morning.
As usual, my picks are in bold, italics below:
NFL Lines For Week 6 – 10/12 – 10/13, 2014
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/12 1:00 ET||Denver||10||At NY Jets||48|
|10/12 1:00 ET||At Cleveland US||-1.5 U||Pittsburgh||47|
|10/12 1:00 ET||At Tennessee||-5||Jacksonville||43.5|
|10/12 4:25 ET||At Atlanta||-3||Chicago||54|
|10/12 1:00 ET||Green Bay||-3.5||At Miami||49|
|10/12 1:00 ET||At Minnesota||-1||Detroit||43.5|
|10/12 1:00 ET||At Cincinnati||-3.5 O/U||Carolina||43.5|
|10/12 1:00 ET||New England||-3||At Buffalo||45|
|10/12 1:00 ET||Baltimore||-3||At Tampa Bay||43|
|10/12 4:05 ET||San Diego||-7||At Oakland||43|
|10/12 4:25 ET||At Seattle LW||-8.5 U||Dallas||47|
|10/12 4:25 ET||At Arizona||-3||Washington||45|
|10/12 8:30 ET||At Philadelphia GW||-3 O||NY Giants||50.5|
|10/06 8:30 ET||Indianapolis U||-3.5||At Houston 44|
|10/13 8:30 ET||San Francisco U||-3.5||At St. Louis 44|
Bye Weeks: Kansas City, New Orleans
One Response to “NFL 2014 Week 6 Picks & Analysis – Football”
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.