NFL Week 12 Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, November 24, 2013 10:15
Picks and analysis for the 2013 NFL season Week 12 games.
NFL WEEK 12
THE MURDER OF JFK
When The Second American Civil War Began
Our Lady of Fatima Catholic Grade School…Second grade…Mrs. Dudash’s classroom. She was wearing one of her typically gaudy purple dresses sporting a garish piece of costume jewelry that would have made Liberace cringe…
The PA system crackled on…Very unusual for Sister Philomena to announce something so late in the day.
My friends and I looked at each other trying to figure out which one of us bold hooligans would face the Iron Penguin’s wrath…
A strange man’s voice announced a news bulletin: “President Kennedy has been shot!…I repeat the President has been shot…”
The breathless report continued, but was mostly drowned out by Mrs. Dudash’s head slamming onto her desk followed by uncontrollable sobbing.
I will never forget the sound of her forehead hitting that wooden desk.
Almost like a gunshot…
Mrs. Milanovich came into the room to comfort her and be comforted; they cried on each other’s shoulder for what seemed like hours…
Some of my classmates began to cry. Sister Albert came into the room, speaking in low tones to her colleagues.
They did their best to compose themselves.
With a gentleness I didn’t think was in her—the woman beat my ass at least once a week—Sister Albert told us busses would soon take us home and asked us to please be quiet…
She actually said, “Please.”
The newsman’s voice came back on “President Kennedy was pronounced dead at…”
Sister Albert silently crossed herself.
The collective weeping of the Fatima faculty and the seventh and eighth graders, who could better comprehend the event, resonated through the school.
It was the saddest echo I have ever heard…It lasted even after I got home to my red-eyed parents…
Its faint remnants haunt our country to this day.
Those shots fired in Dealy Plaza in November of 1963 were the first salvo in the Second American Civil War—and I hate to tell you, the bad guys are winning.
“Lone Assassin” advocates are seen as delusional Warren Commission apologists by “Looney Conspiracy Theorists” who insist one nebulous cabal or another had a role in JFK’s murder.
If there was a conspiracy, it was successful.
Since 11/22/63 we have been arguing the “who/what/ where/how” of Kennedy’s murder, often forgetting to explore the most important question, “WHY?”
So, let’s put out some verifiable facts—undisputed by rational thinkers on both sides of the debate.
FACT: The first doctor who treated the mortally wounded President in Parkland’s Trauma Room One said on 11/18/13, during a symposium in Pittsburgh, that he examined “the massive wound in the back of Kennedy’s skull and that a trauma of that size had to be an exit wound.”
FACT: Grassy Knoll witnesses—58 in all—have been consistent from day one as to what they saw and heard that day, and from which direction, and how close together, shots came.
FACT: The autopsy, in the opinion of top forensic pathologists, was performed by inexperienced, unqualified people–on government orders…There were so many flaws, so many mistakes, beginning with a lack of basic procedures and techniques available in 1963, that many modern day professionals cannot take the results seriously…
FACT: Oliver Stone jumped the shark numerous times in JFK but the one question brought up during the scene in the 6th-floor book depository is compelling: if you were a lone gunmen, why would you wait until your target was moving away from you—and obscured by an oak tree—instead of taking your initial shot when your target is coming at you–and potential second and third shots, if needed–and also clear—and closer?
FACT: The Warren Commission omitted, manipulated, fabricated, and/or ignored relevant eyewitness accounts and forensic, ballistic, and “timing” evidence, which, by itself is a conspiratorial act.
In his book Dead Wrong Richard Belzer stops short of Stone’s all encompassing conspiracy, hypothesizing “elements” of the government may be involved in many of America’s great mysteries. The institution is thereafter compelled to hide that involvement from the public to “keep faith” or avoid embarrassment.
The most important FACT: JFK’s murder has never been investigated as a murder is supposed to be using the preferred handbooks by Vernon J Geberth, Louis N. Eliopulos, or the USDOJ.
That fact alone is the strongest evidence affirming a conspiracy.
Basic Investigative Techniques
Fundamentally, the first questions homicide detectives must answer are MEANS, MOTIVE, and OPPORTUNIY.
For those who believe Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone, there is no arguing the Warren Commission puts him in the Texas School Book Depository, (TSBD) with a rifle = MEANS…
Forget that the timetable regarding his movements to and from the lunchroom—and ultimately out the TSBD door—do not coincide with the Commission’s timetable. In fact, the available evidence strongly suggests Oswald was on the second floor sipping a Coke when the fateful shots were fired.
Lone Nut advocates believe LHO hated Kennedy—had sought asylum in Communist Russia, thereby holding a clear political MOTIVE to kill the President…
Forget Oswald’s undeniable long-time connections to extreme right-wing figures like Guy Bannister and his murky Black-Ops history as some kind of CIA/FBI operative while in Russia.
No doubt, Oswald was in Dallas and worked in the Texas School Book Depository, obviously a golden OPPORTUNITY for a would-be assassin.
Ignore, again, the pesky timetable problems in the TSBD. While you’re at it don’t try to walk from LHO’s boarding house to the site of Officer J.D. Tippet’s murder in the time allotted by the Warren Commission. That and the six-second window in which Oswald had to have fired three—two deadly accurate–shots from a low rent bolt-action rifle is much smaller than logic allows it to be.
In fact, if you believe LHO acted alone, the case against him is pretty straightforward—until you follow the homicide manuals more closely…
WHERE? Did the murder take place?
Who benefitted most from the victims death…
What do witnesses say?
What do the forensics say?
Could the main suspect have been set-up?
Those and about three-dozen other questions must be conclusively answered before any detective can hope to solve a case.
In the Kennedy murder, if any of those questions are answered contrary to the Warren Report’s conclusion—and there are many such answers—then a conspiracy is certain to have taken place.
Posner’s 1993 book Case Closed gives conspiracy nuts a lot to think about.
Posner successfully debunks a lot of mythology surrounding JFK’ murder.
Sometimes brilliantly, Posner sheds light on the analytical follies of some conspiracy lovers.
Unfortunately, he sometimes ignores his own findings when the facts don’t coincide with his lone-nut perspective.
For example, Posner’s meticulous examination of Lee Harvey Oswald’s life, influences, psychology, and world-view illuminates Oswald’s frailties. The reader understands the man as a real human being.
Mainstream American media made Posner famous after publication of Case Closed. There was not a news show the author didn’t appear on where he didn‘t brag about how that historical analysis alone pointed to Oswald’s as “the Lone Nut.”
Unfortunately, Posner acted like that was the only history that counts.
He never delved into the history of political fanatics in this country—the vein of right-wing hatred of Kennedy for his decision on the Bay of Pigs (and how the American intelligence community thought JFK’s inaction against Castro was nothing short of betrayal) and the relentless pursuit of organized crime by RFK. This inconvenient history would have given much clarity and context to the forces arrayed against Kennedy and his ilk—and may have rendered the Lone Nut theory untenable.
Add to that cauldron of anger and hate, an arms industry that has made trillions of dollars off the blood of American soldiers from Vietnam to Afghanistan.
Our history doesn’t lie: War is America’s biggest business.
The nascent rumblings of the Second American Civil War began before the mushroom cloud dissipated over Nagasaki.
Those that wanted peace, those that believed humans were responsible for each other, those who believed we deserved some control over our future were unwittingly pitted against those who wanted America to dominate the world, those who sought wealth at the expense of the less fortunate, those who allowed fear and religion to guide their thinking.
The OSS became the CIA and America became a police state, immersed in an almost constant state of War—and business boomed.
From the end of WWII, the entire Southern Corridor—from Key West through New Orleans to Dallas, home to the extreme right-wing fanatics, Cuban exiles, CIA veterans, arms dealers, the mob, and money—was the world-wide hub of that business.
The FBI was made aware of two possible assassination sites prior to 11/22/63—Miami and Dallas.
Here’s more on Posner’s Case Closed: http://www.assassinationweb.com/issue1.htm
…And Vincent Bugliosi
FIVE POUNDS! That what Reclaiming History by Vincent Bugliosi weighs. 1632 pages!!! A million and a half words…With an accompanying CD containing over 1500 footnotes.
Sometimes less is more. Sometimes more is less.
Reclaiming History…Most is nothing?
According to the publisher, there were record returns of the book that won Bugliosi an Edgar Award.
I read a few chapters and excerpts, and it didn’t take me long to know exactly where the author was coming from:
If you do not agree Lee Harvey Oswald was the lone nut assassin, you are a kook, wacky, a conspiracy apologist, out of your mind, badly mistaken, mentally deranged, insane, a moron, idiotic, uncomprehending, silly, pathetic, laughable, certifiable—or just plain nuts!!!
I could go on for about 1600 pages, but my professors taught me only a desperate writer needs to attack those who disagree with him.
I respect Mr. Bugliosi too much to belittle him as the author of a book he views as his “magnum opus.”
I can say what I read gave me more insight into the mind of a prosecutor than the murder in question. Typically, the scales of justice are not their concern—winning the case supersedes everything.
Reclaiming History goes above and beyond Posner’s glossing over important, valid evidence, or playing only one side of the historical record. Bugliosi distorts the factual record, defies logical thought, and attacks or ridicules all those who believe, testify, or analyze events differently than he does.
Oliver Stone may have jumped that shark in JFK, thereby re-marginalizing those who believe more than one individual killed President Kennedy.
Vincent Bugliosi did a Fosbury Flop over a whole pod of Orcas—and desperately tried to assassinate a truth we may never fully understand. By doing so, he only further legitimized the “conspiracy nuts…
For that, we, and history, owe him thanks.
The next time you turn on Fox and hear about the poor being freeloaders and drug addicts…banks being to big to fail…the government sifting through your e-mails…The next time judges tell you corporations are individuals, and a president lies us into a war where more young Americans die fighting those who “hate our freedoms”…The next time a perverted Congressman implores us to become a Christian Nation…View each as the answer to the question why only progressive leaders like the Kennedys or Martin Luther King were assassinated at the zenith of their potential to better the world for everyone…
We need to start taking this War much more seriously.
WEEK 12 PICKS
Thank god for the diversion NFL football gives us from the wounds life delivers. If it weren’t for the Steelers, stand up comics, good food and my family, it would take too much effort to be happy.
I’m not too damned happy about losing 57.00 when I broke even on what turned out to be a strange weekend.
The last few weeks I got a case of Impulse Parlay Fever—or IPF—and I got burned badly.
Also, three pushes in one weekend? That just doesn’t happen.
Fortunately I managed to hang even and lived to bet another day.
Week 12 has some great games on the slate. Pittsburgh and Cleveland will play a mutually meaningful game with playoff implications for the first time in ten years. The Cry Boys and G-Men vie for another possible NFC East crown.
Tom Brady faces down Peyton Manning and the Broncos in Foxboro, and the Cardinals and Colts match up in the desert—each squad still searching for the elusive identity good teams need.
Here’s where we stand going into Week 12…
WEEKLY TALLY = 6 – 6 – 3
CUMALITIVE TALLY = 80 – 74 – 8 .521
SPECIALS = 1 – 3
GW = 7 – 3 – 1
LW = 4 – 7
US = 4 – 6 – 1
OU = 3 – 8
SPECIALS TALLY = 18 – 24 – 2
PARLAY SPECIAL = 1 – 4
Yeah, a pathetic performance on our Specials and Parlays, but it ain’t over until the fat man burps.
Bovada Account: –100.00
GAIRZO AGAINST CBS
Will Brinson is two games under .500, and he leads the CBS “experts” by four to fifteen games.
I suck; the CBS crew really swallows hard.
Let’s make some money…
UPSET SPECIAL 4 – 6 – 1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions -9 (49)
This baby is nothing more than a “spread” pick. Tampa Bay has been playing hard, and it started to pay off two weeks ago. Bobby Rainey ran for almost 150 last week and we can’t overlook how the Bucs have remained together when most pundits had Schiano’s bags packed for parts unknown.
I’ve always believed true character is forged by the iron hammer of adversity. Look at how the Bucs have hung in there and played tough when they and their coach could have packed it in.
Tampa might not win outright, but they’ll be there at the end.
LIONS 31, BUCCANEERS 28
GAME OF THE WEEK 7 – 3 – 1
Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots +2 (54)
As long as Tom Brady runs the offensive show in Foxboro, this handicapper will not pick against the Pats as a home dog—too much pride, too much Brady, the Gronk is starting to look strong—and the Broncos pass defense plain stinks.
Manning will get his points because the Pats will stay in Cover Two and won’t pressure him, but I look for Belichick to slow it down even more and hope Shane Vereen—returning from a bruised wrist—can chew some clock with his running game.
Brady exploits a weak Broncos secondary and the Pats pull away late.
PATRIOTS 38, BRONCOS 30
LOCK OF THE WEEK 3 – 8
Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers – 4 (43.5)
The Vikings have lost the will to win—and their brain trust has apparently has lost its mind.
Why go out, spend millions on Josh Freeman, play him after only a few days prep, then sit him down for the next month while two other quarterbacks, Matt Cassel and Christian Ponder, struggle, opponents key harder on Adrian Peterson, and your defense spends 33+ minutes on the field?
Nothing about what the Vikings are doing, as an organization and a football, team makes sense to me.
At Lambeau, with Eddy Lacy primed for a breakout week and Scott Tolzein coming off a 300+ yard passing day…
Lock, stock, and barrel for the green and gold.
PACKERS 27, VIKINGS 16
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK 3 – 8
Dallas Cowboys @ NY Giants –3 (45)
Smart money says, when you’ve got two relatively equal teams, take the one coming off the bye because they have extra time to prepare and recover from injury, even if they are on the road.
Smart money says when a team, even the home team, has beaten only four back-up quarterbacks in ten games, put the money on the visitor with the better record and consider the under in a division game…
Smart money says when a player guarantees a home win against a hated division rival, take the road team and the under, because even if they have the NFL’s worst defense, they’ll be motivated to keep the score down
Obviously, that means I’m picking the Cowboys and the under, right?
Because, the smartest money says whenever Jerry Jones pats himself on his GM back for doing such a great job as GM, the Dallas Delusion filters down to the Coaching staff and players.
The Cowboys barely beat the Giants in the season opener even after six turnovers and giving up way over 400 yards to the Giants.
I’ll take the Giants to win this one by ten—and way over the number.
GIANTS 37, COWBOYS 27
Reminder, I pick these games at various times during the week. The point spreads and totals may shift before game time…
As usual, my picks are in italic below
NFL Lines For Week 12 – 11/21 – 11/25, 2013
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|X 11/21 8:25 ET||New Orleans||-9.5||At Atlanta||53|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Detroit||-9 US||Tampa Bay||49|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Houston||-10||Jacksonville||43.5|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Green Bay||-4 LW||Minnesota||43.5|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Kansas City||-4.5||San Diego||42|
|11/24 1:00 ET||Carolina||-5||At Miami||41|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Cleveland||-1||Pittsburgh||40|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At St. Louis||-1||Chicago||45.5|
|11/24 1:00 ET||At Baltimore||-4||NY Jets||39|
|11/24 4:05 ET||Tennessee||-1||At Oakland||41.5|
|11/24 4:05 ET||At Arizona||-3||Indianapolis||45|
|11/24 4:25 ET||At NY Giants||-3 O/U||Dallas||45|
|11/24 8:30 ET||Denver -2 GW||At New England||54|
Monday Night Football Line
|11/25 8:40 ET||San Francisco||-6||At Washington||47|
Byes: Buffalo, Seattle, Cincinnati, Philadelphia
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