NFL Week 6 Picks & Analysis – FootballSunday, October 13, 2013 11:08
Picks and analysis for the 2013 NFL season Week 6 games.
NFL WEEK 6
I ain’t sayin’…I’m just saying…
Sometimes life is so painful…
- Condolences to Adrian Peterson, who suffered an unimaginable loss this week. The range of emotions he must be experiencing—wrenching grief to blood-red anger—cannot be measured by those who haven’t walked in his cleats.
If Mr. Peterson hits the field Sunday, it’s his choice. I hope he does not play in some kind of “shock” and lose his focus, exposing himself to injury. My guess? He runs for over 200 yards.
I wouldn’t try to tackle him.
- If I were a Giants fan, this would worry me http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/category/rumor-mill/
On one hand, Terrell Thomas questions the commitment of at least some of his Giants teammates, and in the same breath says, “I know one thing, this team is going to fight and not going to turn against each other.”
What am I missing?
- If I were a Steelers fan, this would worry me: http://www.post-gazette.com/stories/sports/steelers/games-over-tomlin-bans-table-games-from-steelers-locker-room-707076/
Seems like a desperate move from an organization always willing to tout how they never panic. It’s a move I used to make on my sons before they sprouted pubes.
- Is it too early to ask if Coughlin and Tomlin have lost their respective locker rooms?
- Or, if one–or both—coaches should start sweating?
I can’t remember the last time two consistently excellent franchises have fallen so far at the same time. It will be interesting to see how these two proud organizations deal with adversity.
People may forget, Big Blue has missed the playoffs two of the last three years; in Tomlin’s six full seasons his team watched the playoffs from home twice.
The NFL is a hard life lived by hard men.
The Giants looked lethargic and beaten against the Bears last Thursday. The Steelers have been in every game. If they can make one loose ball bounce their way, maybe they can regain some mojo and begin to salvage the season.
Even if Tomlin and Coughlin are safe, someone has to answer for the “Santino” coming back to haunt these teams, bad drafting and scouting—the root of the Giants’ problem on defense and the Steelers on both lines.
- If I were a Washington Nates fan, this would embarrass me: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2013/10/12/rick-reilly-i-felt-i-quoted-my-father-in-law-accurately-he-disagrees/
Scroll down to sample some of the less than intelligent reader remarks.
I will not comment on how badly Reilly made himself look in the Redskin name conundrum. His explanation for misinterpreting his father-in-law taints any claim Reilly makes to journalistic integrity. [Okay, maybe I will comment.]
I get the people who point to tradition, to the history of how the D.C. team was named, and how some Native Americans do not find “R***kins” to be offensive.
All that is true. Just don‘t sit there and act like you are on the righteous side of the debate—or act like there even is a debate. The question is not open. “Redskins” is just as offensive as Nashville “Niggas” would be—even though many in the black community use “Nigga” as a term of endearment or respect, or to mock the horrible intent of the original word.
Just because some people might think Redskins isn’t offensive doesn’t mean it isn’t offensive.
HOW BRAVE ARE YOU?
Would any of these punks feel perfectly comfortable greeting a strange black guy with: “Hey, Nigga, how you doin’?”
They don’t have the balls.
Would any of these smart-ass rednecks walk onto any Native America reservation—knowing they have their own laws within its boundaries–and greet the residents with, “What’s up, Redskins?”
I’ll finance those little excursions…(if I can film the events—and not be responsible for what happens to the redneck. Part of my new documentary-comedy titled, I Had No Idea That Was Wrong.)
This is for all the glib, shallow, fellow travelers who fashion themselves “anti-PC” rebels, and who are blind only because they don’t have sense enough to open their eyes:
FACT: Washington’s current NFL team nickname derives only from the SKIN COLOR of a particular race of people.
By definition, the term is racist.
America’s rich tradition of oppression, hate and prejudice defines our history like the stars, stripes, and colors define our flag.
Stop insulting my intelligence by pretending otherwise.
WEEK 6 PICKS
Winning Week 5 puts us at the .500 mark for the year, but our performance on the Total and the Weekly Lock are dragging us into oblivion.
Not to be overly dramatic.
Point is, we need a 4-0 very Special weekend…
WEEKLY TALLY = 8 – 6
CUMALITIVE TALLY = 37 – 37 – 3
GW = 4 – 1
LW = 1 – 4
US = 2 – 2 – 1
OU = 1 – 4
SPECIALS TALLY = 8 – 11 – 1
PARLAY SPECIAL = 0 – 2
Bovada Account: —26.30
GAIRZO AGAINST CBS
Jamey Eisenberg is chugging along at an impressive .576 clip, picking 45 of 78 games ATS correctly. His seven CBS cohorts and the Gairzo are stuck around .500 in the dreaded muck of mediocrity.
UPSET SPECIAL 2 – 2 – 1
Green Bay Packers (2 – 2) @ Baltimore Ravens (3 – 2) +3
The Ravens have been dominant at home, winning 20 of 22 games at M&T; their defense is starting to come together and Terrell Suggs is again a defensive force.
I’m not convinced Joe Flacco is as good as he thinks he is, but at least he won’t have to worry about Clay Matthews, who will miss game action while nursing a broken thumb.
I know Aaron Rodgers is as good as we know he is, and if the game were at Lambeau, we’d pick the Green and Gold.
But in Baltimore the Ravens will be able to scavenge enough points to cover—and that is all this Steelers fan hopes they do.
PACKERS 27, RAVENS 25
GAME OF THE WEEK 4 – 1
New Orleans Saints @ New England Patriots –3 (50.5)
Has anyone else noticed thatTom Brady just doesn’t look as comfortable as usual? Whatever it is that is creating that split-second difference between awesome and merely good could cost the Pats this game and a few more important contests as the year goes on.
The AFC East is no longer a one team division like it was for over a decade. New England can’t afford to lose games to teams fans think they should beat like the Bengals, because their division rivals are no longer patsies.
- The Jets might have the league’s most potent pass rush…
- Miami plays solid defense and is starting to gel on offense…
- The Bills played New England toe-to-toe in a Week 1 nail-biter.
Unfortunately Drew Brees is coming to town and it doesn’t look like too smooth of a road for the Patriot offense, still missing Rob Gronkowski and Danny Amendola.
Right now, the Holy Men are clearly the better team. Right now Drew Brees is playing better than Tom Brady.
Rob Ryan has tapped into a vein of gold and the New Orleans defense is tackling effectively and minimizing mental errors—and the Who Dat Defense will be the difference in this one…
It wouldn’t surprise us if Brady exploded for a 400-yd/4-TD kind of effort; after all, he’s good enough to dominate any team, any day.
Just not the Saints this Sunday.
SAINTS 33, PATRIOTS 24
LOCK OF THE WEEK 1 – 4
Philadelphia Eagles @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3
We’re going for the LOW in this one only because of the circus tents Greg Schiano has built in the 18 months he’s been the Mateys’ Captain—all three of them.
Schiano’s misguided attempt at changing the Buccaneers’ culture started with attacking the “Victory” formation against the Giants and now to handling players infected with MRSA in an inhumane and cold way.
Personnel adjustments and conflict began with a stern rebuke and trade of Aquib Talib, then degraded into a distasteful end to the Josh Freeman-era in Tampa.
Maybe someone forgot to tell Coach Schiano, he was hired to change the culture for the better. No doubt, the former Rutgers head honcho had a wide learning curve when he joined the professional ranks, but he has unwittingly infected his team to the point where he might find himself coaching at a small college much sooner than he wants to.
The Eagles’ Chip Kelley had similar lessons to learn—but he hasn’t yet infected the psyche of his team the way Schiano has. At 2 – 3, the Eagles know they have to play better; they look at their division and can legitimately ask “Why not us?”
The Mateys look at some of their teammates infected with a deadly virus, their franchise quarterback unceremoniously released, and any chance at the play-offs disappearing fast, and ask “Why us?”
These are two ships sailing to different ends of the football earth. One of them won’t like where they end up.
EAGLES 30, BUCCANEERS 17
OVER/UNDER OF THE WEEK 1 – 4
Washington Nates @ Dallas Cowboys –6 (53)
These defenses are simply awful due to injuries, lack of discipline, or just being in the NFC East—but the offensive talent comprising these two division rivals is extraordinary. Tony Romo has found a waiting target in Dez Bryant and the Cowboys took the Broncos to the limit last week, scoring 48 points on a porous Bronco defense.
Washington’s defense is worse…
Even with RGIII gimpy, the Redskins can score from anywhere on the field; Alfred Morris is ready to break out and Mike Shanahan will beat Monte Kiffin’s defense like a teenage dick.
No brainer—take the home team with the Over and get ready for the offensive fireworks.
COWBOYS 38, NATES 35
Reminder, I pick these games at various times during the week. The point spreads and totals may shift before game time…
As usual, my picks are in italic below…
NFL Lines For Week 6 – 10/13 – 10/14, 2013
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|L 10/13 1:00 ET||At Chicago||-8.5||NY Gants||40.5|
|10/13 1:00 ET||Philadelphia||-3 LW||At Tampa Bay||45|
|10/13 1:00 ET||At Kansas City||-8.5||Oakland||40.5|
|10/13 1:00 ET||Detroit||-2.5||At Cleveland||44|
|10/13 1:00 ET||Green Bay||-3 US||At Baltimore||44|
|10/13 1:00 ET||At Houston||-7.5||St. Louis||42|
|10/13 1:00 ET||At NY Jets||-1||Pittsburgh||41|
|10/13 1:00 ET||Cincinnati||-6.5||At Buffalo||41.5|
|10/13 4:05 ET||At Seattle||-13.5||Tennessee||40.5|
|10/13 4:05 ET||At Denver||-27||Jacksonville||53.5|
|10/13 4:25 ET||At San Francisco||-10.5||Arizona||41|
|10/13 4:25 ET||At New England||-3 GW||New Orleans||50.5|
|10/13 8:30 ET||At Dallas||-6 O/U||Washington||53|
|10/13 1:00 ET||At Minnesota||-2.5||At Carolina||44|
Monday Night Football Line
|10/14 8:40 ET||Indianapolis||-1||At San Diego||50|
Bye Weeks: Atlanta, Miami
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