Super Bowl XLVII Picks & Predictions – FootballSunday, February 3, 2013 14:56
Super Bowl XLVIII picks and predictions.
SUPER BOWL 2013
I ain’t sayin’… I’m just sayin’…
Last week, yet again, proved why Bill Belichick is overrated as an Xs and Os coach. His team was outplayed—and gave us many fine examples of what undisciplined, entitled teams play like.
In the AFC Championship game, there were three blatant penalties not called on the Patriots. All three reflect poorly on Belichick and his mythical genius:
- Tom Brady deliberately tried to kick Ed Reed in the nuts. Obvious, blatant and not called.
- An obvious blow to Flacco’s head, not called.
- A sideline, out of bounds cheap shot on Ray Rice, not called.
- Belichick halftime adjustments were ineffective and/or not made.
- Excellent regular season record aside—the Patriots have not been the same dominant ready-for-anything post-season team since they got busted for cheating…
- Two punts inside the 35?
- The dreadful just before halftime clock mismanagement…
Yeah, Belichick is a genius…
- On another hand, why lambast Belichick for not talking to the media?
- Especially when he knows how badly outperformed his team was.
- …And what do losing coaches ever say that’s insightful or worthwhile?
- I believe our feminized media just wants to see a coach cry.
- There is no crying in football unless you are from Dallas—then it’s mandatory.
- What if James Harrison or Ndamankon Suh had deliberately tried to kick Tommie Boy Brady in the nuts?
- Joe Flacco finally played like a champion—the most underrated arm in the league…
- And the Ravens defense is playing much better since Ray Lewis returned.
- Haloti Nata, Ed Reed, and Lewis seem to play much more effectively when they aren’t nursing sprained ankles, bruised quads, or torn triceps.
Two Sundays ago Atlanta took the monkey off their back and started beating the 49ers with it. At game’s end, the monkey turned on the Falcons and San Fran booked a ticket to the Big Easy.
- The Niners defense was shredded by Matt Ryan but the Falcons didn’t have a Ray Rice to pound the nail into the casket.
- Advantage John Harbaugh. He and his team but been through a lot more big games than his brother.
- Kaepernick is a cool cuke, but you have to wonder if the moment will become to big for him…Will it hit him at all? In the 4th quarter?
- Wouldn’t it be poetic justice if “The Caper” can’t answer the call and Alex Smith drove the Niners 94 yards for the winning score?
- If that happened, wouldn’t it be even sweeter if Alex Smith, waving goodbye with a gaudy ring on his hand, told 49ers management to kiss his ass and signed with, say, Arizona?
- Is it just me, or does The Caper have a rocket of an arm—and the touch of a surgeon when he has to drop a ball into a tight window?
Roger Goodell becomes more of a tool every time he opens his mouth. This week he was yammering, yet again, about how he is determined to take the head out of the game.
Goodell makes no mention of the routine helmet-to-helmet contact that happens on every play between blockers and tacklers, ball carriers and tacklers…Every single play…In practice and in games…
That’s where the real damage is done. The constant sub-concussive contact football players experience from Pee-Wee to the NFL…For 10-15 years before the real hitting starts in college…
Hey Rog, Newsflash: YOU CAN’T TAKE THE HEAD OUT OF THE GAME!!!
Can you take the blade out of hockey?
Can you take feet out of MMA?
Can you take the beer out of bowling?
If Ol’ Roger answers, “YES!” as he has for years, the competitive dynamic of those games must fundamentally change.
Hockey would turn into ten guys slippin’ and slidin’ on the ice like horny penguins.
MMA would turn into, uh, boxing…
Bowling would turn into unimaginable torture.
Goodell’s ego will never allow his inner child to admit that fans like me want to see the head taken out of the game (as much as it can be)—we just don’t want to pay $300.00 a week to watch arena football outdoors.
We like receivers to think about getting blasted in the chest if they go over the middle. We want to see a quarterback either pussy-out when pursuing an interceptor or hear his ribs crack when he gets nailed with a perfectly legal block. If that QB is too damn stupid to know blockers will target him, he deserves all the pain they can administer.
If Goodell were really smart, he would tell the owners to bite the bullet and settle every outstanding lawsuit, fund a pension plan for all players, admit the league’s fault in not addressing the problem sooner–THEN, require every current and future player to sign an iron-clad irrevocable risk acceptance contract indemnifying the league from any and all future lawsuits.
The next step would be to require player/position weight limits and allow HGH for therapeutic use only…
One more thing…an automatic, irreversible lifetime ban from the game if a player is caught cheating.
No excuses, no bullshit.
The players’ doctor, an NFLPA doctor, and an independent doctor selected from a rotating pool of professionals must all agree before prescriptions for any banned substances are written. That includes Adderall, boys.
The owners don’t have the stones to do any of the above.
Everything else Roger says sounds like bad acting in a run-down theater—only he wants you to believe you’re watching the art of good management.
THE SUPER BOWL
Last week, we went 3-0-1, pushing in the NFC title game. Here are my final and verified numbers:
Overall Tally: 140 – 121 – 7 = .536
Specials: 45 – 38 – 2 = .542
Nobody breaks the bank betting on the Super Bowl unless you bet the house on the ’80s and ’90s 49ers routing super chumps like the Broncos and Chargers.
Super Bowl XLVII gives us no images of a blowout unless Colin Kaepernick has a one of a kind date with destiny.
We think this one will be a heart thumper settled at the last second or in overtime. Here’s why:
Uninformed pundits who don’t do their research have said the Niners Pistol fired on all cylinders against 4-3 defenses and struggled against 3-4 defenses.
Not true. Kaepernick ran for 180 against one of the 3-4 masters, Dom Capers, who learned from the Gandhi of the scheme, Dick LeBeau. No, the issue wasn’t numbers, it was scheme. Teams can blunt the impact of read-option offenses by playing a three-deep zone and not letting The Caper see linebackers and corners turn their backs to the line of scrimmage so he can pick which gaping hole to run through.
Of course, once Kaepernick reads zone, the look for those beautiful touch passes to Vernon Davis or Michael Crabtree.
The teams that want to succeed against the read-option ought to watch Seattle’s approach to the game—ball control, running game, and disciplined defense.
The Ravens excel in all those categories.
The secret weapon for Baltimore might be their quarterback—and I don’t mean Joe Flacco. His name is Dennis Dixon. The same Dennis Dixon who was on everyone’s 2007 Heisman finalist list until a torn ACL ended his year. Dixon was recruited by Chip Kelly and Mike Bellotti at Oregon and ran Bellotti’s spread offense—which is, simply, the Pistol without a trigger.
Point being, Dixon–who is set to sign with Kelly in Philly–knows many of the intricacies of the Niners offense and can almost match Colin Kaepernick step for step when it comes to speed.
The Baltimore Ravens might end up winning the Super Bowl due, in large part, to a former draft pick and five year member of the arch-rival Steelers.
I don’t think those Rat Birds will mind that somewhat painful irony one bit.
While I don’t see Baltimore being surprised by much of what San Fran throws at them, the 49ers, first man to last man, have the more talented, younger team and the more dominant offensive line. The Niners defense is better, its offense more dynamic and they have more team speed.
But the Ravens have the edge in what stats can’t measure—Ray Lewis. Love him, hate him, murderer or minister, the man is one of the great leaders in football history, and he has 52 teammates who want to see him win his last game.
That ain’t no small thing.
Yet, I don’t believe any of the above moves the needle definitively to Baltimore or San Fran. I’m thinking this game demands the wisdom of Solomon—except I don’t give a Rat Bird’s ass who wins and loses.
I’m splitting the baby right down the middle so we get a nice cross-section of his guts for everyone to see. It is very likely we will learn the game will be won because of something Jim said to John at a football camp thirty years ago.
Or John will try a special teams trick that will go down as the greatest in Super Bowl history—or its greatest blunder—and special teams might be the wildcard that will take this game over the number
I’m taking the Ravens, the 4 points, and the over.
But San Francisco basks in the confetti when David Akers makes the game winning 49-yard field goal.
SAN FRANCISCO 31 BALTIMORE 30
MVP = RAY RICE
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