2012 NFL Week 12 Thanksgiving Picks – FootballThursday, November 22, 2012 12:16
Thanksgiving Day picks and analysis for the 2012 NFL season Week 12.
TURKEY SHOOT PICKS
Houston Texans @ Detroit Lions +3
Interesting slate of NFL contests for Thanksgiving Day.
Two home dogs–and the odds say one of them will probably lose. The smart handicapper would certainly pick one home dog, right?
Let’s start with the Motor City match-up pitting the struggling Lions whose offense is prolific if imbalanced.
The Lions defense wouldn’t scare a crippled wildebeest–I don’t care if they rank a respectable 10th in the NFL.
All year Detroit has made sure to commit stupid mistakes at the most exact wrong moments–roughing, delay of game, false starts, pass interference, offsides–it almost seems like they do it on purpose.
I blame it on coaching. This week, head-honcho Jim Schwarz had to bench second-year wide receiver Titus Young for “unacceptable behavior.” Luckily the Lions will be getting safety Louis Delmas back–and hope he can provide run support for returning Texans RB Ben Tate who Gary Kubiak wants to see lighten Arian Foster’s considerable load–the kid is almost averaging 24 carries a game.
How do we figure Houston letting the Jags take them to overtime and letting J’Ville score 37 points on what everybody views as an elite NFL defense? I watched a good bit of that game and Jacksonville wasn’t the beneficiary of poor play–they earned what they got and Chad Henne–yes, Chad Henne–looked like Dan Marino.
I’m thinking Houston wants to show some pride here–they need to. Don’t think that the New Englands and Denvers of the AFC world weren’t salivating at the prospect of embarrassing the Texans defense.
I don’t think that will happen–and Detroit doesn’t have the weapons Brady or Manning bring to the fight–although Calvin Johnson will have a huge day if Pro Bowler Jonathan Joseph’s hamstring keeps him on the sideline.
History has turned up its nose at both teams; the Lions haven’t won a Thanksgiving Day since 2003 and haven’t covered against a team with a winning record in the last two years, while the Texans have yet to win in Detroit.
Houston has the better team, more talent, superior coaching and they better have a chip on their shoulder.
I don’t want to beat my self up for going against the home dog Lions.
TEXANS 34, LIONS 28
New England Patriots @ New York Jets +7
Speaking of history, the Cowboys are 28-15-1 on Thanksgiving and the Native Americans, the “Nates,” have never beaten Dallas when the turkey is on the table.
I would so much love to pick Washington, but Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker have been out most of the year and ageless linebacker London Fletcher has a badly sprained ankle.
That means Washington’s defense will surely live down to its 26th in the league ranking.
Of course, there is always RGIII to lean on if I really wanted to pick the Nates. Fifth in QB rating, the kid actually gets better every week–even when he has a bad week. And, in their last three games against the Nates, the Cowboys have barely squeaked by their once most-hated rivals.
Even without offensive linemen, Tyron Smith and their two best centers, Dallas is usually too big a hill for most teams to climb on Thanksgiving Day.
I hope I’m wrong because I’d love to see Jerry Jones spit, choke and puke all over his luxury box.
COWBOYS 35, NATES 27
New England Patriots @ New York Jets +7
Anybody with the class and fine literary taste to read this column knows I think Bill Belichick is a disgrace to the game–more than any current or former player. He’s a cheater who has a long documented history of believing the rules are his to break–but I can’t comprehend why he gets abused for coaching his players to execute perfectly for sixty minutes.
Maybe Tom Brady needs work on the 17-yard dig rout. Maybe Wes Welker pissed BB off by running a couple of lazy out patterns–or maybe, just maybe, Belichick wants to spit in the face of his current and future opponents–and all the fans like me who will never let him or New England forget he is a cheater. After all, if you’re thinking what an obsessed prick or cheater Belichick is, maybe you’ll forget to watch your tendencies and the next thing you know, you’re down 14-0 with the home crowd booing you to shame.
Do any of these pundits, players, or coaches know how pusillus they sound when they cry about Belichick “running it up?”
I’m guessing the answer to that question is identical to the answer to this one…Should you really believe head coaches in the NFL have the time or inclination to care or consider who is on the field for extra points?
Do you think Bill Belichick–when his team is up by four touchdowns–ever thought, “Ya know what, I don’t care if one of my best players gets hurt–we need to block this point after.”
If you are going to condemn and hate Bill Belichick, do it for the right reason, because he cheated to get an edge he knew his team didn‘t have.
If you do think he is a cheater who disgraced the game, out work him to beat him.
If you think he is “running up the score,” play better and score more points to beat him.
If you think he’ll do anything to win, do more to beat him.
That’s the only way you don’t sound like a whiny little bitch…
Oh, that reminds me, Rex Ryan cannot shut his mouth. I may as well face it he just can’t…Wait–What? Rex is actually eating humble pie?
Dammit!!! I hate him even more because I know he wants whipped cream with that pie, but just can’t have it.
I’m a Bill Bellichick fan on Thanksgiving–even though my shaky Steelers need the Pats to lose if they are still hoping for a top seed in the playoffs.
Goes to show you how far the Jets have shot up my Hate List.
And if you think, I’ve been rough on some coaches in this space, wait until I rant on Mike Tomlin in my Saturday post…
PATS 38, JETS 24
NFL Lines For Week 12 – 11/22 – 11/25, 2012
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|11/22 12:30 ET||Houston||-3||At Detroit||50|
|11/22 4:15 ET||At Dallas||-3||Washington||48|
|11/22 8:20 ET||New England||-7||At NY Jets||48.5|
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