2012 NCAA Tournament Sweet Sixteen – BasketballTuesday, March 20, 2012 21:07
Thoughts on the upcoming Sweet Sixteen and the first three rounds on the 2012 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.
How Sweet It Is
I love March Madness…
- How many of you picked the Ohio University Bobcats to make the Sweet Sixteen? Time to brag: I did, beating South Florida to do so.
- I also picked the NC State Wolfpack, so I nailed the two lowest seeded teams to make it to the second weekend.
- Not all was good: I lost one of my Final Four teams (Missouri) in the Round of 64 and another in the third round (Florida State).
- My round-by-round results: 2 of 4 (First Four); 21 of 32 (Round of 64); 10 of 16 (Round of 32).
- I predicted that the Midwest would be the Mad Region of March Madness, and so far it has been just that. It’s also the only region I nailed all four of my Sweet Sixteen picks.
- Congrats to Lehigh, Norfolk State and Ohio University.
- The first day of Round 2 had to be one of the most boring on record. Nothing in the way of major upsets. Of course the second day of that round more than made up for the first.
- But still no buzzer beaters…
- Every year people bemoan the Big East being overrated. Last year, many teams did underperform, but it was a Big East school, Connecticut, that took home the title. This year, four Big East teams (of the nine that entered the tournament) made the Sweet Sixteen. That most definitely is not overrated.
- On a purely mathematical basis–ignoring all other factors–one would expect the fallout per conference per round to be 50%, or 25% from the Round of 64 to the Sweet Sixteen. For the Big East, 4 of 9 remaining = 44.44%, much better than the expected 25% of 9 = 2.25 teams.
- As strong as the Big East’s showing has been, the Big Ten puts it to shame. 4 of 6 teams remain, for a sparkling 66.67%. Half of all the Sweet Sixteen come from the Big East and Big Ten.
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