NFL Week 6 Picks and Analysis – FootballSunday, October 16, 2011 8:49
Game picks for Week 6 of the 2011 NFL football season.
NFL 2011 Week 6 Picks & Analysis
I ain’t sayin’…I’m just sayin’
- America, you are the frightened little kitty who militarized your local police departments and allowed the right-wing fanatics and left-wing wimps to repeatedly flip the fear card. “Oh no, terrorists want to poison our water or blow up bridges. Give cops anything they want!”
- Now you see the legalized gangsters you’ve created in New York. Assaulting peaceful protesters without provocation. Pepper spray…beatings…motorcycles as weapons…Looks a lot like a Middle Eastern dictatorship, doesn’t it?
- History will show–as does the nightly news on selected cable channels–that the only aggression, the only confrontational measures have been taken by the New York Pigs.
- Corporate-owned media and politicians are not giving a genuine political movement its due because they realize that this battle may mean–must mean–the downfall of corporate America as we know it. Failing that, we will be thrust further head first into the hell Orwell foresaw.
- For those of you who believe that sportswriters should stick to sports, maybe you’re right. I believe Rupert Murdoch should have stayed in the supermarket tabloid business. It is a lot easier to believe stories about three-headed Elvis sightings than any reporting on Fox News.
- Besides, I know what I’m talking about–if my game tallies are any indicators…
Week 6 Picks
Last Week’s Picks
Last Week: 10 – 3 (.769)
2011 Overall Tally: 37 – 36 – 4 (.507)
Specials Tally: 14 – 6 (.700)
I figured it would take a couple more weeks to get over the .500 mark but I caught a little luck in Indy and Jacksonville and ended up with my best percentage-number week in the two and a half years I’ve been picking against the spread.
In fact, I checked my last two post-Week 5 standings. 2009 and 2010 found me at .500 this far into the NFL campaign. I didn’t record where I stood on my Specials, but can just about guarantee I was nowhere near the .700 standard.
I need another good week, and if I do get one I can start bragging a little.
Wait, let me brag while I still can…
- I checked four pay sites and nobody is documented at .700 on Specials.
- I am 5 – 0 on Upset Specials and my analysis on each game reads like I know what I’m talking about. Believe me, I am more baffled than any of you.
- I missed picking the final score of the Bear/Lions Game of the Week by a single point.
My only mistakes were thinking the Bucs would be competitive against the 49ers and being too sure Big Blue would crush the ‘Hawks. I also figured that the Steelers would be their usual inept selves on the offensive line and have trouble with the great Chris Johnson.
Too Many Questions
It grows tougher every week as teams finally show their true colors. But this year it’s even tougher than usual because a lot of NFL squads are playing like spring training is just ending. The Steelers are a prime example. Am I correct that the tape shows the Pittsburgh defense has been overplaying the run, or are the Titans, even with Johnson, really the worst rushing team in the league?
Do the Bengals–the Bengals, ladies and gentlemen–really have the best defense?
Do the Eagles really stink this bad?
The Lions…5 – 0?
Just like every player and coach in the NFL, prognosticators have to prove their mettle every week.
This Week’s Picks
This week’s slate of thirteen games is a toughie. The odds makers are getting a firmer handle on the appropriate spread and can suck the careless soothsayer into a vortex of absurdity–and bankruptcy.
Let’s see if we can keep this thing going…
Game of the Week (3 – 2)
The Cowboys trek up to Gillette Stadium and try to shave the luster off a Patriots team that seems to only get better each week. There’s no great foresight into this one, folks. Tom Brady is playing at the same level as Aaron Rogers. Before Rogers’s dissection of the Steelers’ secondary in the most recent Super Bowl, only one QB was at Brady’s level–Tom Brady.
Tony Romo recently said the ‘Boys would win a Super Bowl “at some point.” Well, if the world does not end in, say, the next six trillion years, he is probably right. With Romo at quarterback, even a decent Cowboys defense does not stand a chance against Brady.
Patriots 38, Cowboys 28
Upset Special (5 – 0)
We could have taken Carolina to play Atlanta tight or Washington to beat Philadelphia by a field goal.
Why make it hard on ourselves?
Buffalo finally has a coach who knows how to run an offense and the Giants lost to the Seahawks.
Until they prove otherwise, the G-Men deserve no respect.
Bills 30, Giants 27
Lock of the Week (3 – 2)
Last week, we took the Bolts against the home dog Broncos and walked away happy. We know we are walking a slippery plank picking against the home dog Buccaneers, but, “Argh, the matey’s is hurting’,” with LaGarette Blount and DE Gerald McCoy out for Sunday, and the entire crew still smarting from a 48 – 3 smack-down at the hands of the Gold Miners. Youngry teams can doubt themselves very quickly.
Saints 35, Bucs 23
Over/Under of the Week (3 – 2)
We started off 3 – 0 the first three weeks picking over the number. The last two weeks the under handed us two stinking apples. What is worse, we can’t find a game that makes us chubby for the big number.
We do see the offensively-challenged Norsemen traveling to Soldier Field for their bi-annual scrum with Da Bears. We feel safe with the under.
Bears 17, Vikings 16
As always, my lines are found here: http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml
My picks can be found below in italic…
NFL Lines For Week 6, 10/16 – 10/17, 2011
|Date & Time||Favorite||Line||Underdog||Total|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At Green Bay||-14||St. Louis||48|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At Pittsburgh||-12||Jacksonville||40|
|10/16 1:00 ET||Philadelphia||-2.5||At Washington||47|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At Detroit||-4||San Francisco||46|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At Atlanta||-4||Carolina||50.5|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At Cincinnati||-7||Indianapolis||41|
|10/16 1:00 ET||At NY Giants||-3 US||Buffalo||50|
|10/16 4:05 ET||At Baltimore||-8||Houston||44.5|
|10/16 4:05 ET||At Oakland||-6.5||Cleveland||44.5|
|10/16 4:15 ET||At New England||-6.5 GW||Dallas||55.5|
|10/16 4:15 ET||New Orleans LW||-4.5||At Tampa Bay||49.5|
|10/16 8:30 ET||At Chicago O/U||-3||Minnesota||41.5|
Monday Night Football Line
|10/17 8:35 ET||At NY Jets||-7||Miami||42.5|
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